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NFL Wild-Card Super Computer Picks

The NFL playoffs kick off this weekend with the wild-card round and the OddsShark Super Computer is back with another round of ATS, SU and OVER/UNDER picks to help you cut through all the nonsense spit out by pundits and talking heads.

Favorites expected to Roll

Wild Card Weekend in the NFL is always good for a few crazy outcomes and upsets but that’s not looking like it’s going to be the case in 2017. The computer is picking all four home teams – who are also favored – to win, and win by a lot. If this were to happen, it would be a complete 180 from last year, where all four visiting teams were able to get it done on the road and move on to the divisional round.

The closest game the computer is predicting this weekend is the matchup between the Lions and Seahawks. With a forecasted score of 29-16.2, the 12.8 winning margin for Seattle just slightly edges out the Texans for smallest on the board. Night games have been where the Seahawks have shone the brightest in recent history as they are 20-4-2 ATS in their last 26 under the lights. Combine that trend with how poorly the Lions have played down the stretch and this pick makes a whole lot of sense.

Pittsburgh, Green Bay and Houston are the other home faves expected to beat their opponents by double digits, with the computer predicting the Steelers to smash the Dolphins 33.6-14.8. For Miami, this will be their first playoff appearance since 2008 and a win would be their first since 2000. With a 1-7 record in their last eight road playoff games, the Fish have a lot going against them on Sunday. Jay Ajayi will have to have the best game of his life if he hopes to give his team any chance to advance. Ten points is a lot for the Steelers but they’ve managed to cover the spread all three times this season when they’ve been favored by eight or more points.

For a little more reference, the favored team is 6-2 SU the last two years in wild-card games and is 3-7-2 ATS the last three years.

Will a real QB please stand up?

Two of the games this weekend will feature a starting quarterback who is filling in for an injured signal-caller and that’s what has led to some of the lopsided spreads. Many believed the Raiders might be the team to stop the Patriots this year but that hope was broken in twain along with Derek Carr’s fibula. With Connor Cook set to take the reins on the Raiders offense for their matchup with the Texans, oddsmakers are favoring Houston and so is our computer. It’s predicting the Carr-less Raiders drop a 26.8-13.8 decision to the Texans in H-Town and take a disgraceful tumble from the playoffs after such a promising regular season.

The trends tend to agree with the computer as Houston is 14-5-1 ATS in its last 20 games as the favorite and 6-2 in its last eight games after a loss. Brock Osweiler has not been great statistically this season but he did help lead the Texans to a 7-1 record on their home turf.

Check out the human breakdown of these games under the NFL tab on the home page.

NFL Wild-Card Picks
DayAwayHomeaScorehScore
SatOakland RaidersHouston Texans13.826.8
SatDetroit LionsSeattle Seahawks16.229
SunMiami DolphinsPittsburgh Steelers14.833.6
SunNew York GiantsGreen Bay Packers14.728.9

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