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NFL Wild Card Weekend Betting Primer

Wild Card Weekend is here, giving us yet another opportunity to put a bookie out of business and destroy his life. First, though, a little bit of homework is required, and as always, I’ve got you covered.

Before dipping into each game, there’s a few recent Wild Card Weekend trends that you should be aware of. The UNDER has been a money bet the past four seasons in the wild-card round as it’s hit in 12 of the 16 games. Being in January, it’s important to monitor weather leading up to the games when betting totals, so be sure to check on the conditions prior to kickoff. Fading the favorite has also been the way to go in recent years as they’ve covered the spread in just three of the last 12 wild-card games.

Now feast your eyes on the top stats and trends for each of the wild-card games below. If everything goes right, your bank account will get a nice boost, while the bookie's wife will be kicking him to the curb on Sunday night and he'll lose custody of his children.

KEEP CHASING THAT PAPER!

Dolphins at Steelers
  • The Dolphins are 3-0 ATS in their last three games against the Steelers.
  • At home this season, the Steelers averaged 298.4 passing yards per game — third-best in the NFL. On the road, the Dolphins allowed a fourth-worst 276 passing yards per game.
  • The total has gone OVER in three of the Dolphins' last four games against the Steelers.
  • In Miami's Week 6 win over the Steelers, Jay Ajayi rushed for 204 yards and two TDs.
  • The Steelers are 1-4 SU in their last five games in the playoffs.
  • The Steelers are 7-0 SU and 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games as favorite.
  • The total has gone OVER in 22 of the Steelers' last 28 games in January.
  • The Dolphins are 1-7 SU in their last eight games in the playoffs on the road.
  • The Dolphins are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog of 10.0 or more.
  • The total has gone OVER in the Dolphins' last six games.
  • Since 1985, the Dolphins are 2-10 SU and 3-9 ATS as an underdog in the playoffs.
  • Since 1995, the Steelers are 16-4 SU as a favorite in the playoffs. They were a double-digit favorite just once in that span and didn’t cover.
  • There's been six double-digit spreads in the wild-card round in the OddsShark database. The favorite went 5-1 SU and ATS in those games.
Giants at Packers
  • The Giants are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road playoff games. This includes five straight outright wins.
  • The Packers are 4-5 SU and 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine home playoff games.
  • Over their last four games, the Packers are averaging 34.25 points per game.
  • Over their last three games, the Packers allowed a league-high 346.3 passing yards.
  • The Packers are averaging 139.7 rushing yards per game over their last three games.
  • In their Week 5 loss to the Packers, the Giants rushed for just 43 yards.
  • The Giants are 3-1 SU in their last four games against the Packers.
  • The Giants are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games against the Packers.
  • The Packers are 7-2 SU in their last nine games at home against teams with winning records.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Giants' last three games against the Packers.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of the Packers' last 14 games at home.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of the Giants' last six games in the playoffs.
  • The Giants went UNDER in seven of their eight road games this season.
  • The Giants are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games in wild-card games.
  • Aaron Rodgers has 11 TDs and just one INT in five career wild-card games.
Raiders at Texans
  • The game opened with a total of 36.5. If that number stays intact, it will be the lowest total of the season.
  • In their last nine games this season, the Texans allowed just three total rushing touchdowns and 72 rush yards per game.
  • In their Week 11 matchup, the Texans held the Raiders to 30 total rushing yards on 20 attempts.
  • Over their last three games, the Texans allowed a league-best 153.3 passing yards per game.
  • The Texans are 18-2 SU and 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games as favorite.
  • The visiting team is 4-0 SU and ATS in its last four games in this matchup.
  • The total has gone UNDER in nine of the Texans' last 12 games at home.
  • The Texans are 6-2 SU in their last eight games after a loss.
  • The total has gone OVER in the Raiders' last three games against the Texans.
  • The total has gone OVER in seven of the Raiders' last 10 games.
  • The Raiders are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games in the playoffs.
  • The Raiders are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games on the road against teams with winning records.
  • Lamar Miller ran for 104 yards and a TD vs the Raiders in Week 11.
  • The Raiders' last road playoff win was in 1981.
Lions at Seahawks
  • The Seahawks are 20-4-2 ATS in their last 26 games at night. Fifteen of those games were at home where they went 14-1 SU and 11-2-2 ATS.
  • The Seahawks are 8-0 SU in their last eight home playoff games.
  • The Lions are 0-8 SU in their last eight games in the playoffs.
  • The Lions are averaging just 4.3 points while allowing 16.3 in the second halves of their last three games.
  • The visiting team is 2-7 SU in its last nine games in this matchup.
  • The Lions are 3-1 ATS in their last four games against the Seahawks.
  • The Seahawks are 7-0 SU in their last seven games when hosting an East Coast team.
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the Seahawks' last six games in the playoffs.
  • The Lions are 2-5 SU and ATS in their last seven games on the road.
  • The total has gone UNDER in eight of the Lions' last 10 games.
  • Russell Wilson has a 16-3-1 SU record with a 106.3 QB rating in 20 career night games.

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