Raiders vs Broncos AFC West Pick
The Oakland Raiders have not been favored by this much since the 2003 season and we'll see if they learned much from their bye week as they host the Denver Broncos in Week 9 NFL betting action.
In past years, the Raiders have been a betting wasteland after their bye - they lost 8 consecutive season ATS (and the UNDER was a solid bet too at 7-1). They get an opponent and a situation they have dominated however here.
Denver is just 2-9 ATS in their past 11 games vs the Raiders and they have been lame within the AFC West, losing 9 of 10 SU lately. Oakland is 8-1 SU and ATS within the AFC West by contrast.
Check out tons of Carson Palmer betting props as well as he makes his first Raider start. Bovada has the lines.
The Broncos are listed as 7-point underdogs at sportsbooks, with the total listed at 45. The best Raider line was -7 last night at Bovada.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 18-rated Raiders and the No. 25-rated Broncos in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 21-14 win for the Raiders on Sunday.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Oakland's No. 16-ranked offense, averaging 22.9 PPG, against a Broncos defense that ranks No. 31 this week at 28.6 PPG. The Raiders aerial game is averaging 206.3 yards per game, less than the Broncos secondary allows through the air, 249.7 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Broncos feature the league's No. 1-rated road run defense, allowing 81 yards per game. Oakland, meanwhile, ranks No. 3 in rushing offense at home.
The Broncos were a 45-10 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Lions. They failed to cover the 3.5–point spread as underdogs, while the total score (55) made winners of OVER bettors.
Last time out for Oakland, they were a 28-0 loser as they battled the Chiefs at home. The Raiders failed to cover in the match as a 3.5-point favorite, while 28 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.
Carson Palmer Prop Odds for his first Raider start: courtesy of Bovada :
Carson Palmer - Completion % Week 9
Carson Palmer - Total TD Passes Week 9
Over 1½ (+160)
Under 1½ (-200)
Carson Palmer - Total Interceptions Week 9
Over ½ (-200)
Under ½ (+160)
Carson Palmer - Total Passing yards Week 9
Denver Broncos Trends:
When playing in November are 3-7
When playing on grass are 3-7
After being outgained are 2-8
When playing within the division are 1-9
Oakland Raiders Trends:
When playing in November are 3-7
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the division are 8-2
A few Broncos at Raiders trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Oakland
Denver is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
Denver at Kansas City, Sunday, November 13
Oakland at San Diego, Thursday, November 10