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Packers home to Browns in NFL betting action

Cleveland Browns Green Bay Packers

Coming off their fourth-straight game with 100-plus rushing yards, three of which they won, the Packers go looking for more when they host the 3-3 Cleveland Browns Sunday afternoon at Lambeau Field (4:25 pm ET, CBS).

Green Bay opened as double-digit chalk at home, a role they have embraced over the years. The Packers are 9-2 ATS in their past 11 games as double-digit home chalk. Meanwhile, the Browns broke a 15-game road losing skid in their last road game at Minnesota.

Green Bay just beat the Ravens in Baltimore Sunday 19-17, and have out-rushed their last four opponents by an average of 125 yards per game.

Cleveland, on the other hand, just lost at home to Detroit 31-17, snapping a three-game winning streak.

In the early betting the Packers, who are a bit banged up, especially at wide receiver, were favored by 10 points over the Brownies.

They battle the Browns, currently with a 3-3 mark (3-3 ATS). The over under records, important for totals bettors, are 3-2 for the Packers and 3-3 for the Browns.

View Cleveland Browns vs Green Bay Packers Odds and Stats.

Sportsbooks such as Bovada had the Packers pegged as -11-point favorites in this matchup. The total, meanwhile, was listed by books like TopBet at 45.5.

The Packers sit at No. 3 in the current NFL Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Browns are at No. 22 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Packers will win this game 25-20.

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Cleveland lost its last outing, a 31-17 result against the Lions on October 13. The Browns failed to cover in that game as a 2.5-point underdog, while the 48 combined points took the game OVER the total. In their last game, Green Bay's aerial attack generated 315 yards and the Packers came away with a 19-17 victory over Baltimore at M&T Bank Stadium.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Green Bay's No. 5-ranked offense, averaging 27.4 PPG, against a Browns defense that ranks No. 11 this week at 20.83 PPG. The Packers aerial game is averaging 309.4 yards per game, more than the Browns secondary allows through the air, 214.33 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Browns feature the league's No. 16-rated road run defense, allowing 116.5 yards per game. Green Bay, meanwhile, ranks No. 4 in rushing offense at home.

A few Browns at Packers trends to consider:
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games
Cleveland is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Green Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Green Bay is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games

Next up:
Cleveland at Kansas City, Sunday, October 27th
Green Bay at Minnesota, Sunday, October 27th