Packers home to Lions in NFL betting action
|Detroit Lions||Green Bay Packers|
The NFC North-leading Detroit Lions, coming off a big home victory over division-rival Chicago, next hit the divisional road for a bout at the 1-2 Green Bay Packers Sunday afternoon (1 pm ET, Fox).
In the early betting the Lions, who haven't won in the state of Wisconsin in their last 21 tries, were getting seven points from the Pack, who had last week off.
The Packers get an extra week of rest and are 6-0-1 ATS their past 7 years after a bye week. Meanwhile, the Lions are just 1-5-1 ATS past 7 as road underdog.
They battle the Lions, currently with a 3-1 mark (3-1 ATS). The over under records, important for totals bettors, are 3-0 for the Packers and 2-2 for the Lions.
The visitors opened as 7-point underdogs in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark (including BetOnline), while the total was hovering around 52 at most shops.
The Packers - Lions odds would favor the Packers if the lines were set according to power ranks. Green Bay is rated No. 4 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Lions sit at No. 19. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 32-30 win for the Lions.
Last time out for Detroit, they were a 40-32 winner as they battled the Bears at home. The Lions covered in the match as a 3-point favorite, while 72 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Johnathan Franklin tore up the turf for 103 rushing yards in the latest Packers game, a 34-30 loss to the Bengals at Paul Brown Stadium.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Green Bay's No. 2-ranked offense, averaging 32 PPG, against a Lions defense that ranks No. 20 this week at 25.25 PPG. The Packers aerial game is averaging 326.67 yards per game, more than the Lions secondary allows through the air, 268 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Lions own the league's No. 9-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 86 yards per game when on the road. Green Bay, on the other hand, rates No. 9 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Lions at Packers trends to consider:
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Detroit is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Detroit is 5-15-2 ATS in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Green Bay is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Green Bay is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Detroit
Detroit at Cleveland, Sunday, October 13th
Green Bay at Baltimore, Sunday, October 13th