Packers vs Vikings: Week 13 pick
The Green Bay Packers are 9-3 SU and 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games against the Minnesota Vikings and will look to stay hot against their division rival when they host the Vikings this Sunday at Lambeau Field.
The Packers have won four straight over Minnesota (3-1 ATS).
The total has gone OVER in seven of the last eight games between these two teams. Minnesota is 1-4 SU and ATS in its last five games in Green Bay.
The visitors opened as 9-point underdogs in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark (including BetOnline), while the total was hovering around 47 at most shops, including Bovada.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Packers at No. 15 and the Vikings at No. 20 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 26-23 result in favor of the Packers.
The Green Bay Packers won’t have long to recover from the train wreck that was their Week 12 Sunday Night Football showing against the New York Giants, but at least they’ll be lining up against a similarly disheartened opponent at kick off in Week 13. Bet on the NFL at its finest when the Minnesota Vikings hit the road against their NFC North Division rival.
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After their most recent loss to the Chicago Bears, the Vikings have reason to be doubtful about their chances of clawing a way into the postseason. NFL oddsmakers too, are starting to wonder if the early Minnesota momentum might just not be enough. According to Bovada, as the NFC North grows tougher by the week, the Vikes now have just 150/1 odds of winning the Super Bowl.
This Sunday, however, Adrian Peterson and company will get one more chance to prove that they can hang with the juggernauts that have dominated the division. The Packers may be the sexier bet option, but that means nothing on the NFL moneyline.
While it may be getting late for Minnesota to beat, catch up to and leapfrog the two powerhouses ahead of them in the standings, that doesn’t mean they can’t cause trouble as the underdog.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Green Bay's No. 13-ranked offense (24.8 PPG) against a Vikings defense that ranks No. 17 at 22.6 PPG. The Packers passing attack has averaged 242.2 yards per game, more than the Vikings give up through the air (224.9 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Vikings feature the league's No. 22-rated road run defense, allowing 126 yards per game. Green Bay, meanwhile, ranks No. 23 in rushing offense at home.
In their last action, Minnesota was a 28-10 loser on the road against the Bears. They failed to cover the 6-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (38) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. Last time we saw the Vikings, they had no answer for WinningRB as the Bears rolled to a 28-10 victory at Soldier Field.
Last time out for Green Bay, they were a 38-10 loser as they battled the Giants on the road. The Packers failed to cover in the match as a 2.5-point underdog, while 48 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.
Minnesota Vikings Trends:
When playing in December are 3-7
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing within the division are 2-8
Green Bay Packers Trends:
When playing in December are 6-4
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the division are 10-0
A few Vikings at Packers trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Green Bay is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay's last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Minnesota home to Chicago, Sunday, December 9
Green Bay home to Detroit, Sunday, December 9