Packers open as underdog vs Giants
|Green Bay Packers||New York Giants|
The Green Bay Packers started 5-2 this season, but in losing QB Aaron Rodgers they've lost their last two games, and are dangerously close to seeing their whole season go down the drain.
The New York Giants, on the other hand, started 0-6 this year, but have won three games in a row, and now have visions of making the playoffs.
So it's two teams headed in different directions getting together when the Giants and Packers play Sunday afternoon at MetLife Stadium (4:25 pm ET, Fox).
Green Bay just lost at home to Philadelphia 27-13 and lost another quarterback, Seneca Wallace, to injury. So former Wisconsin Badger Scott Tolzien, who did a decent job in relief against the Eagles, will make his first NFL start Sunday.
Special Packers props - from Bovada
Will the Green Bay Packers make the playoffs?
NFL WEEK 11 SPECIALS - Scott Tolzien (GB) - Total Passing Yards Week 11 vs New York Giants
NFL WEEK 11 SPECIALS - Scott Tolzien (GB) - Total TD Passes Week 11 vs New York Giants
Over 1½ (-115)
Under 1½ (-115)
NFL WEEK 11 SPECIALS - Scott Tolzien (GB) - Total Interceptions Week 11 vs New York Giants
Over ½ (-250)
Under ½ (+195)
New York, meanwhile, just beat Oakland 24-20, but couldn't cover the spread as seven-point chalk.
In the early betting the Giants were favored by seven points over the injury-depleted Pack. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing NY Giants, while Big Blue is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay.
The Packers are 0-4 SU & ATS in their past four games as an underdog.
They bring a 3-6 record (3-6 ATS) to the Week 11 battle against the 5-4 Packers, who are 5-4 ATS against the spread. Over under bettors have seen New York go 5-4 so far and the Packers go 4-5.
Bettors looking to back the visiting Packers in this one found them as 3-point underdogs earlier in the week at Bovada, while the total was settling in the neighborhood of 42.5 at shops such as 5Dimes.
The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Giants at No. 22 and the Packers at No. 8 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 26-14 result in favor of the Packers.
Last time out for Green Bay, they were a 27-13 loser as they battled the Eagles at home. The Packers failed to cover in the match as a 1.5-point underdog, while 40 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Andre Brown went over the 100-yard mark (115) in his team's latest effort as New York defeated Oakland by a score of 24-20 on Sunday.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up New York's No. 30-ranked offense (18.33 PPG) against a Packers defense that ranks No. 17 at 23.56 PPG. The Giants passing attack has averaged 242.33 yards per game, less than the Packers give up through the air (246.11 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Packers feature the league's No. 3-rated road run defense, allowing 82.5 yards per game. New York, meanwhile, ranks No. 31 in rushing offense at home.
A few Packers at Giants trends to consider:
Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Green Bay is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games
Green Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
NY Giants is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
NY Giants is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
NY Giants is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games at home
Green Bay at Minnesota, Sunday, November 24th
New York at Dallas, Sunday, November 24th