Packers vs Lions Week 11 Prediction
The Green Bay Packers will be looking for their fifth straight win Sunday when they visit the Detroit Lions at Ford Field.
Green Bay is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS over its last four games.
Green Bay is 12-1 SU and 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games against the Detroit Lions. Detroit is 4-11-1 ATS over its last 16 games.
Those siding with the visitors in this matchup saw the Packers listed as 3.5-point favorites at shops such as Bovada. Meanwhile, the over under line for the matchup was at 51 over at TopBet.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 10-rated Lions and the No. 13-rated Packers in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 30-23 win for the Packers on Sunday.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Detroit's No. 13-ranked offense (24 PPG) against a Packers defense that ranks No. 9 at 20.8 PPG. The Lions passing attack has averaged 307.3 yards per game, more than the Packers give up through the air (243.6 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Packers feature the league's No. 15-rated road run defense, allowing 111 yards per game. Detroit, meanwhile, ranks No. 28 in rushing offense at home.
Green Bay won its last outing, a 31-17 result against the Cardinals on November 4. The Packers covered in that game as a 10.5-point favorite, while the 48 combined points took the game OVER the total. Green Bay comes off a game where it received a 4-TD performance from Aaron Rodgers in defeating the Cardinals 31-17.
Detroit lost its last outing, a 34-24 result against the Vikings on November 11. The Lions failed to cover in that game as a 3-point favorite, while the 58 combined points took the game OVER the total. Matthew Stafford beat the Vikings secondary for 3 TDs last time out, but the Lions lost to Minnesota 34-24 at The Metrodome.
Green Bay Packers Trends:
When playing in November are 9-1
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the division are 9-1
Detroit Lions Trends:
When playing in November are 2-8
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the division are 4-6
A few Packers at Lions trends to consider:
Green Bay is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Detroit
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Green Bay
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Green Bay at NY Giants, Sunday, November 25
Detroit home to Houston, Thursday, November 22