The Minnesota Vikings come off their bye week with a huge task on their hands - defeating the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field.
Not surprisingly, the Pack opened as 14-point home chalk in this NFC North battle which has seen primarily OVERs recently (6-1 past 7 head-to-head meetings). The OVER has also prevailed for NFL totals bettors when the Vikes come off a bye (11-2 past 13 years).
Head to head, the Vikings have an advantage at an 8-3 ATS clip in 11 meetings with Green Bay, but the Packers are 3-1 ATS in the past four as Aaron Rodgers and company begin their domination of the division.
On the opening line for this matchup the Packers sit as 13.5-point favorites and it was bet doown to -12.5 at 5Dimes. You can get the Vikings at +14 at which is the best Monday Night underdog lines. The total, meanwhile, has been pegged by the oddsmakers at 51.5.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 6-rated Packers and the No. 19-rated Vikings in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 38-22 win for the Packers on Monday.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Green Bay's No. 1-ranked offense, averaging 34.4 PPG, against a Vikings defense that ranks No. 25 this week at 24.9 PPG. The Packers aerial game is averaging 312 yards per game, more than the Vikings secondary allows through the air, 273.6 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Vikings feature the league's No. 10-rated road run defense, allowing 109.8 yards per game. Green Bay, meanwhile, ranks No. 24 in rushing offense at home.
Minnesota was a 24-21 winner in its last match on the road against the Panthers. They covered the 3–point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 45 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. In their last game, the Vikings were Week 8 winners, coming out on top of the Panthers by a score of 24-21.
Green Bay won its last outing, a 45-38 result against the Chargers on November 6. The Packers covered in that game as a 5.5-point favorite, while the 83 combined points took the game OVER the total. In their last game, the Packers got 4 passing scores out of Aaron Rodgers en route to a 45-38 win over the Chargers on Sunday at Qualcomm Stadium.
Minnesota Vikings Trends:
When playing in November are 8-2
When playing on grass are 3-7
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing within the division are 1-9
Green Bay Packers Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on grass are 10-0
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing within the division are 8-2
A few Vikings at Packers trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Minnesota's last 21 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Minnesota is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Green Bay
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Green Bay's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Minnesota home to Oakland, Sunday, November 20
Green Bay home to Tampa Bay, Sunday, November 20