Panthers vs Falcons Betting Preview
Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers Odds
Carolina is a small home underdog in Week 14 and history tells us that means they will lose to the visiting Atlanta Falcons.
Why? The Panthers have lost 15 in a row SU as an NFL underdog. However there are some supporting betting trends that hint that the streak could be ending.
The Panthers are 15-5 ATS in their past 20 December games and 8-1 ATS in their past 9 December home games.
On the Falcon side, they are 5-1 ATS past 6 vs Carolina. Of note, the OVER is 12-3-1 the past 16 meetings at Carolina, while the Falcons have played 6 straight UNDERs as a favorite.
Bettors looking to back the visiting Falcons in this one will find them as 3-point favorites, while the total sits at 48.5.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Panthers - Falcons odds would favor the Falcons if the lines were set according to power ranks. Carolina is rated No. 13 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Falcons sit at No. 7. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 26-21 win for the Falcons.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Carolina's No. 8-ranked offense, averaging 24.2 PPG, against a Falcons defense that ranks No. 10 this week at 20.3 PPG. The Panthers aerial game is averaging 260 yards per game, more than the Falcons secondary allows through the air, 239.8 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Falcons own the league's No. 5-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 100.8 yards per game when on the road. Carolina, on the other hand, rates No. 11 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
The Falcons were a 17-10 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Texans. They failed to cover the 1–point spread as favorites, while the total score (27) made winners of UNDER bettors. In their last gridiron battle, Tony Gonzalez did much of the damage, producing 100 receiving yards but Atlanta managed to defeat the Falcons 17-10 at Reliant Stadium.
The Panthers were a 38-19 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Buccaneers. They covered the 2.5–point spread as favorites, while the total score (57) made winners of OVER bettors. Tampa Bay wasn't able to contain Cam Newton in their last game and the result was a 38-19 Week 13 loss against the Panthers.
Atlanta Falcons Trends:
When playing in December are 6-4
When playing on grass are 4-6
When playing within the division are 7-3
Before playing Jacksonville are 2-2
Carolina Panthers Trends:
When playing in December are 6-4
When playing on grass are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing within the division are 2-8
A few Falcons at Panthers trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Carolina's last 18 games at home
Carolina is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games at home
Atlanta home to Jacksonville, Thursday, December 15
Carolina at Houston, Sunday, December 18