San Diego has lost 6 of its past 7 trips to New England and fans in Foxboro will be rocking after their team's Week 1 fireworks on Monday Night.
Both teams won in Week 1, but the Chargers needed three TDs from Mike Tolbert to edge the Vikings while the Patriots got 517 passing yards from Tom Brady in a win at Miami.
The past three meetings have played UNDER the total however, which may push bettors toward the spread. [ PLAY FREE NFL BANKROLL CONTEST - STARTS THIS WEEK! $1,000 UP FOR GRABS ]
And prop bettors may be more interested in Brady vs Rivers betting lines at which are even up on the passing yards prop.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Patriots - Chargers odds would favor the Chargers if the lines were set according to power ranks. New England is rated No. 10 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Chargers sit at No. 5. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 40-33 win for the Patriots.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits New England's No. 3-ranked offense, averaging 38 PPG, against a Chargers defense that ranks No. 9 this week at 17 PPG. The Patriots aerial game is averaging 516 yards per game, more than the Chargers secondary allows through the air, 28 YPG per game.
In their last action, San Diego was a 24-17 winner at home against the Vikings. They failed to cover the 9.5–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (41) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. Philip Rivers's 335-yard performance through the air was enough last time out, as San Diego earned a 24-17 win over Minnesota on Sunday at Qualcomm Stadium.
The Patriots were a 38-24 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Dolphins. They covered the 7.5–point spread as favorites, while the total score (62) made winners of OVER bettors. In their last game, the Patriots got 4 passing scores out of Tom Brady en route to a 38-24 win over the Dolphins on Monday at Sun Life Stadium.
San Diego Chargers Trends:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 6-4
New England Patriots Trends:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on turf are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 9-1
A few Chargers at Patriots trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing on the road against New England
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New England's last 12 games
New England is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
New England is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games at home
San Diego home to Kansas City, Sunday, September 25
New England at Buffalo, Sunday, September 25