Patriots battle huge spread vs Colts
The biggest NFL point spread in four years appears on the Week 13 NFL odds menu as the winless Indianapolis Colts visit the New England Patriots Sunday.
The spread opened at 22 points and could climb higher as bettors debate whether the Pats can take apart the Colts like they took apart the Eagles last Sunday. And while it was when Peyton Manning was under center, Indy has covered its past three trips to Foxboro.
There are OVER trends galore for football totals bettors, where the OVER is 13-3 past 16 Indy road games and 10-2 in their past 12 games as an underdog of 9 points or more. The Colts have played 7 straight December OVERs and the OVER is 7-1 past 8 December road games.
The Patriots are just 5-15 ATS in their past 20 as big chalk of 9 points or more while the best Colts number was +21.5, -115 at Bovada.
The visitors opened as 20.5-point underdogs in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark, while the total was hovering around 48 at most shops.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits New England's No. 3-ranked offense, averaging 30.1 PPG, against a Colts defense that ranks No. 32 this week at 29.7 PPG. The Patriots aerial game is averaging 319.1 yards per game, more than the Colts secondary allows through the air, 238.7 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Colts feature the league's No. 30-rated road run defense, allowing 157 yards per game. New England, meanwhile, ranks No. 14 in rushing offense at home.
The Colts were a 27-19 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Panthers. They failed to cover the 3–point spread as underdogs, while the total score (46) made winners of OVER bettors. Last time out for the the Colts, they were scorched by WinningWR for 122 receiving yards against the Panthers in a 27-19 loss at Lucas Oil Stadium.
New England was a 38-20 winner in its last match on the road against the Eagles. They covered the 3–point spread as favorites, while the total score of 58 sent OVER bettors to the payout window. New England comes off a game where it received a 3-TD performance from Tom Brady in defeating the Eagles 38-20.
Indianapolis Colts Trends:
When playing in December are 8-2
When playing on turf are 1-9
After being outgained are 0-10
When playing outside the division are 1-9
New England Patriots Trends:
When playing in December are 9-1
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 8-2
A few Colts at Patriots trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Indianapolis's last 11 games on the road
Indianapolis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Indianapolis's last 10 games
Indianapolis is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing New England
New England is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games at home
New England is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
New England is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New England's last 15 games at home
Indianapolis at Baltimore, Sunday, December 11
New England at Washington, Sunday, December 11