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Injured Eagles Home Dogs to Pats

The past two meetings of the Patrots and Eagles were memorable for different reasons and won't likely impact the Week 12 point spread.

The Pats beat the Eagles in Super Bowl 39 and two years later barely beat the Eagles as 24-point chalk (during New England's dream 20007 season). On Sunday, the Patriots play on a short week after drubbing the Chiefs and face an underperforming Eagle team that must win to keep its playoff hopes alive.

Michael Vick is listed as questionable and wide receiver Jeremy Maclin(notes) (hamstring), cornerback Nnamdi Asomugha(notes) (knee) and backup offensive lineman King Dunlap(notes) (concussion) could also miss Sunday’s game.

The Patriots remain a good road bet (7-2 ATS past 9 games) while the Eagles have inexplicably lost 7 of 8 home games.

The line opened late in the week at Bovada and other online sportsbooks with the Patriots favored by 4 points. The best OVER number of 50 was at TopBet while the best under (51) was at Bovada.

View New England vs Philadelphia Odds and Stats.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The game pits the Eagles, currently No. 4 in our OddsShark NFL Power Rankings, against the Patriots, who rate No. 12 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 33-26 victory for the Patriots.

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How They Match Up:
The game also pits Philadelphia's No. 10-ranked offense, averaging 23.7 PPG, against a Patriots defense that ranks No. 10 this week at 20.3 PPG. The Eagles aerial game is averaging 247.5 yards per game, less than the Patriots secondary allows through the air, 299.5 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Patriots feature the league's No. 14-rated road run defense, allowing 109 yards per game. Philadelphia, meanwhile, ranks No. 5 in rushing offense at home.

New England was a 34-3 winner in its last match at home against the Chiefs. They covered the 17–point spread as favorites, while the total score of 37 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.

Last time out for Philadelphia, they were a 17-10 winner as they battled the Giants on the road. The Eagles covered in the match as a 5.5-point underdog, while 27 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. LeSean McCoy ran through the New York defense for 113 yards in Philadelphia's last game, handing the Giants a 17-10 setback on Sunday at MetLife Stadium.

New England Patriots Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 8-2

Philadelphia Eagles Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on grass are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 2-8

A few Patriots at Eagles trends to consider:
New England is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games
New England is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 15 of New England's last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games at home
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New England
Philadelphia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games

Next up:
New England home to Indianapolis, Sunday, December 4
Philadelphia at Seattle, Thursday, December 1

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