The Patriots have only lost once to the Giants since 1990 but that was a rather important win in Super Bowl XLII.
But as the Giants opened as 8.5-point underdogs here on the Week 9 NFL odds list (already bet up to -10 at one sportsbook), there are indications that New York could be the best bet.
The Patriots have dominated at home in October and have been lights out at home in December (winning 17 in a row). But in November, something happens - the Patriots are just 2-10 ATS past 12 at home in this month.
The Giants have only been an underdog by this much twice in the past four seasons and both times it was against the Patriots and both times they covered as double-digit underdogs.
View NY Giants vs New England Odds and Stats.
Betting Line:
The Giants are listed as 8.5-point underdogs at sportsbooks, with the total listed at 52.5. It was up to +10.5 at Sportsbook Saturday while the best Patriot spread was at Sportsbook at -8.5. [ Check out live betting on the Patriots Giants game as well at Sportsbook ]
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Power Rankings at OddsShark have the No. 17-rated Giants taking on the No. 14-rated Patriots in this contest. Handicapping models indicate a 31-26 win for the Patriots on Sunday.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up New England's No. 5-ranked offense (28.9 PPG) against a Giants defense that ranks No. 21 at 23.4 PPG. The Patriots passing attack has averaged 324.7 yards per game, more than the Giants give up through the air (225.1 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Giants feature the league's No. 23-rated road run defense, allowing 135.7 yards per game. New England, meanwhile, ranks No. 16 in rushing offense at home.
In their last action, New York was a 20-17 Sportsbook at home against the Dolphins. They failed to cover the 10–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (37) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. In New York's last outing, Eli Manning threw for 349 yards to lead the Giants over Miami 20-17 at MetLife Stadium.
Last time out for New England, they were a 25-17 loser as they battled the Steelers on the road. The Patriots failed to cover in the match as a 3-point favorite, while 42 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Tom Brady passed for 2 touchdowns in his team's last game, but it wasn't enough to overcome the Steelers, who won 25-17 on Sunday.
New York Giants Trends:
When playing in November are 5-5
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 8-2
New England Patriots Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on turf are 8-2
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 8-2
A few Giants at Patriots trends to consider:
NY Giants are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Giants last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Giants last 7 games when playing New England
NY Giants are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games on the road
New England is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New England's last 9 games at home
New England is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games
New England is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Giants
Next up:
NY Giants at San Francisco, Sunday, November 13
New England at NY Jets, Sunday, November 13
