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Point spread favors 49ers in battle with Dolphins

Miami DolphinsSan Francisco 49ers
Dec 9, 4:05 PM | Grass of Candlestick Park

Miami Dolphins vs San Francisco 49ers Odds

5-7TEAM RECORD8-3-1

The San Francisco 49ers are 14-3-1 SU and 12-4-2 ATS over their last 18 games at home, and will try to continue their home dominance this Sunday at Candlestick Park when they host the Miami Dolphins. Miami is just 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road.

Miami is 1-4 SU and 1-3-1 ATS over its last five games. The total has gone UNDER in seven of Miami's last eight games.

View Miami vs San Francisco Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
San Francisco opened as 10-point favorites at shops such as 5Dimes, while the NFL total was set at 41.5 for over under betting.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the 49ers rated this week at No. 2 and the Dolphins sitting at No. 27. It may or may not play a role in OddsShark score prediction models that turned out a 29-18 result in favor of the 49ers this week.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up San Francisco's No. 14-ranked offense (24.1 PPG) against a Dolphins defense that ranks No. 11 at 20.8 PPG. The 49ers passing attack has averaged 201.2 yards per game, less than the Dolphins give up through the air (257.7 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Dolphins own the league's No. 5-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 85.5 yards per game when on the road. San Francisco, on the other hand, rates No. 2 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Miami lost its last outing, a 23-16 result against the Patriots on December 2. The Dolphins earned a push in that game as a 7-point underdog, while the 39 combined points took the game UNDER the total. In their last game, the Dolphins were Week 13 losers coming out on the wrong end of 23-16 score against New England.

Last time out for San Francisco, they were a 16-13 loser as they battled the Rams on the road. The 49ers failed to cover in the match as a 7-point favorite, while 29 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Michael Crabtree hauled in 7 passes for 101 yards against the St. Louis defense in the team's last game, but the result was a 16-13 loss against the Rams on Sunday.

Miami Dolphins Trends:
When playing in December are 3-7
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 5-5

San Francisco 49ers Trends:
When playing in December are 5-5
When playing on grass are 7-2-1
After outgaining opponent are 6-3-1
When playing outside the division are 7-3

A few Dolphins at 49ers trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
Miami is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco11-2-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
San Francisco is 13-4-1 ATS in its last 18 games at home
San Francisco18-6-1 SU in its last 25 games
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami

Next up:
Miami home to Jacksonville, Sunday, December 16
San Francisco at New England, Sunday, December 16