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Point spread favors Colts in battle with Jaguars

Indianapolis Colts Jacksonville Jaguars

The Indianapolis Colts, coming off their stunning victory over the 49ers in San Francisco, head to the other coast when they visit the 0-3 Jacksonville Jaguars for an AFC South divisional bout Sunday afternoon (1 pm ET, CBS).

In the early Week 4 Colts Jaguars betting the Colts, who are now 13-6 with Andrew Luck at quarterback, were favored by 9.5 points over the hapless Jags, who just lost by four touchdowns out in Seattle. The total may be an interesting play here as there are very string UNDER trends in play.

The UNDER is 12-1 the past 13 Colts games within division and the UNDER is 9-3 the past 12 Jaguars games within the AFC South. Watch for the total to inch downwards from its open of 42.5 or so.

Supporters of the Colts have seen them go 2-1 and 1-2 ATS so far this season, while the Jaguars are at 0-3 and 0-3 ATS. In totals betting, the Jaguars are 1-2, while the Colts are 1-2.

View Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars Odds and Stats.

Bettors looking to side with the Jaguars in this one found them as 4-point Underdog earlier in the week at Sportsbook.ag, while the total was sitting at 42.5.

The game pits the Jaguars, currently No. 32 in our OddsShark NFL Power Rankings, against the Colts, who rate No. 16 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 24--2 victory for the Colts.

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Indianapolis won its last outing, a 27-7 result against the 49ers on September 22. The Colts covered in that game as a 10.5-point underdog, while the 34 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Jacksonville's No. 32-ranked offense (9.33 PPG) against a Colts defense that ranks No. 6 at 16 PPG. The Jaguars passing attack has averaged 178.33 yards per game, less than the Colts give up through the air (212.33 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Colts feature the league's No. 32-rated road run defense, allowing 191 yards per game. Jacksonville, meanwhile, ranks No. 27 in rushing offense at home.

A few Colts at Jaguars trends to consider:
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
Indianapolis is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games when playing Jacksonville
Indianapolis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
Jacksonville is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
Jacksonville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
Jacksonville is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing Indianapolis

Next up:
Indianapolis at Seattle, Sunday, October 6th
Jacksonville at St. Louis, Sunday, October 6th