Vikings home dogs to the Packers
The banged-up Green Bay Packers travel to Minnesota to take on the struggling Minnesota Vikings in the Sunday night game.
*Editor Note: Percy Harvin declared 'out' for Vikes. Watch line moves.
The Packers are 10-point favorites, despite having a receiving corps ravaged by injuries. Randall Cobb, James Jones and tight end Jermichael Finley are all likely out for Sunday’s game at Minnesota. But as double-digit road favorites have discovered over the past few years, it is not a good situation facing a big home underdog.
Green Bay’s defense also is plagued by injuries, but the Packers have managed to keep on track and have won three straight. The Packers won two of three meetings with the Vikings last season.
Minnesota has lost two straight, including an ugly 23-7 loss to the New York Giants on Monday night. Newly-acquired QB Josh Freeman completed just 20 of 53 passes for 190 yards with no touchdowns and one interception in his first start for the Vikings. The Giants loaded up at the line of scrimmage and held Adrian Peterson to 28 yards on 13 carries.
Seven of the last 10 meetings have gone OVER the total.
The Vikings are 1-5 so far on the season, and 2-4 ATS vs. the number. The Packers, meanwhile, are 4-2 and 4-2 ATS. Over under bettors have seen Minnesota go 5-1 and the Packers go 3-3 on the totals.
The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Vikings at No. 23 and the Packers at No. 3 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 30-16 result in favor of the Packers.
The Packers were a 31-13 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Browns. They covered the 7.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (44) made winners of UNDER bettors. The Vikings suffered a Week 7 loss against New York in their last game, falling 23-7 at MetLife Stadium.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Minnesota's No. 19-ranked offense (22 PPG) against a Packers defense that ranks No. 12 at 21.17 PPG. The Vikings passing attack has averaged 214.33 yards per game, less than the Packers give up through the air (266.83 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Packers feature the league's No. 3-rated road run defense, allowing 73 yards per game. Minnesota, meanwhile, ranks No. 14 in rushing offense at home.
A few Packers at Vikings trends to consider:
Green Bay is 4-0-1 SU in its last 5 games
Green Bay is 5-9-1 SU in its last 15 games
Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Green Bay is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-12-1 SU in its last 15 games
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Minnesota is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home
Green Bay at Chicago, Monday, November 4th
Minnesota at Dallas, Sunday, November 3rd