Thursday night football returns with an AFC West clash where many of the betting trends seem to favor the Oakland Raiders at San Diego.
But the public consensus does not agree as 82% of the betting votes here at OddsShark.com's consensus data have gone to the Chargers.
Both teams come off losses and the Raiders are 0-2 since the Carson palmer trade, but they are 5-1 ATS past 6 games as an underdog and 4-0 ATS past four games vs the Chargers. San Diego was scorched for 45 points by Green Bay last week, while the Raiders were picked apart by Tim Tebow.
The under has been a reliable totals bet in meetings at San Diego (9-1-1 past 11). The Raiders have been dominant within the AFC West, going 8-2 SU and ATS past 10 within the division.
If you're going with the Chargers in this one, they're listed as 7-point favorites on the betting line for the contest. Totals bettors have seen that number set at 49 but it was best down. The best underdog number +7 and best UNDER number 48, -105 were both at earlier Thursday.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
It's a betting matchup between the No. 8-rated Chargers and the No. 20-ranked Raiders, according to the NFL Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 24-21 result in favor of the Chargers.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up San Diego's No. 11-ranked offense (24.9 PPG) against a Raiders defense that ranks No. 30 at 27 PPG. The Chargers passing attack has averaged 294.9 yards per game, more than the Raiders give up through the air (246.9 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Raiders feature the league's No. 12-rated road run defense, allowing 110.3 yards per game. San Diego, meanwhile, ranks No. 26 in rushing offense at home.
Oakland lost its last outing, a 38-24 result against the Broncos on November 6. The Raiders failed to cover in that game as a 7-point favorite, while the 62 combined points took the game OVER the total. Carson Palmer beat the Broncos secondary for 3 TDs last time out, but the Raiders lost to Denver 38-24 at O.co Coliseum.
The Chargers were a 45-38 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Packers. They failed to cover the 5.5–point spread as underdogs, while the total score (83) made winners of OVER bettors. In their last game, the Chargers got 4 passing scores out of Philip Rivers, but lost 45-38 to the Packers on Sunday at Qualcomm Stadium.
Oakland Raiders Trends:
When playing in November are 3-7
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the division are 8-2
San Diego Chargers Trends:
When playing in November are 8-2
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the division are 6-4
A few Raiders at Chargers trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Oakland is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Diego's last 8 games at home
San Diego is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Oakland
San Diego is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing Oakland
San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Oakland at Minnesota, Sunday, November 20
San Diego at Chicago, Sunday, November 20