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Rapid Capping For NFL Week 9

If you want to handicap every game on the NFL board for Week 9 in a hurry, this is your place. 

I quickly cap every game below in a few lines with my opinions. Here are some general NFL betting tidbits for the season to get you started. Odds below are as of Thursday evening.

Home teams are 63-56 SU for the season, 55-57-7 ATS.
Favored teams are 76-43 for the season and 53-59-7 ATS.
Favored home teams went 8-1 SU  in Week 8 and are 47-28 for the season.
Favored home teams went 5-4 ATS for Week 8, 33-37-5 ATS for the season.
Underdog home teams are 22-20-2 ATS for the season.

Week 9 games

Rams at Giants +3.5, 42 – Headline in NY Post this week: “Does anyone on the Giants care?” Janoris Jenkins suspended for failing to return back from the bye week on time. Giants have covered eight straight in this series. But this is the No. 2 scoring offense vs the third-worst scoring offense in the NFL. I don’t think Giants can score enough to keep up. 

Broncos at Eagles -8, 43.5 – Oddsmakers are daring you to take the Broncos here. I wouldn’t with a Denver team that’s 0-5 ATS in last five on the road. Broncos going to Brock Osweiler at QB but he had a worse QB rating with the Texans than Siemian has in Denver. He’s been told he has one job: protect the football, with the Broncos having the worst turnover margin per game in the league. Sounds like a conservative game plan to me so I’m thinking UNDER here. Also because Philly plays great D at home. Fifth in scoring D and first against the rush at home. 

Bucs at Saints -7, 50 – No. 2 vs No. 4 passing teams in the NFL in this one. This spread is deserved, though, where Tampa Bay has no rushing game and the Bucs also rank 30th against the pass this season. Lots of injuries in the secondary for the Bucs and they are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six. Drew Brees has been sacked the least of any QB this season also (7 times). Tough to take the Bucs here even though those points look tempting. 

Bengals at Jags -5.5, 39 – Eleven of the last 15 Bengals games have gone UNDER so no surprise with the low total here. Jags also have the No. 1 scoring D in the NFL. You have to stop the run here to beat Jacksonville. Bengals are OK at it (18th in NFL) and having Burfict back helps. Line opened -2.5 and moved up a field goal. 

Falcons at Panthers -1, 43.5 – Carolina defense might be the best in the NFL this season. No. 5 in scoring, third in passing, fifth in rushing and first in time of possession. Lotta injuries for Carolina, though, including top two centers banged up. Atlanta has failed to cover four in a row but has won & covered last three vs Carolina. I think the injuries will be too much for the Panthers. 

Colts at Texans -7, 49.5 – The big news here, of course, is that Deshaun Watson is done for the season. The line moved from -13 to -7, which is just mind-blowing considering Watson has started six games in his NFL career. Two OVER teams here with the O/U at 6-2 for the Colts and 5-2 for Houston. The Colts are the worst scoring defense but Houston is terrible on D also at 29th in points against. So the points may be worth a look here even though the Colts are (turn head, stick fingers down throat). 

Ravens at Titans -4, 43 – The OVER has cashed in four straight Ravens games. They’re great against the pass (fifth in the league and an NFL-best 12 INTs) but not so great against the run. The Titans have a solid O-line and lead the NFL in rushing TDs with nine this season. Tough call here. Tennessee is second-worst at scoring TDs (41.%) in the red zone so leaning to this being too many points. 

Redskins at Seahawks -7, 45 – Washington injuries tell the story of this line. Four of five starting linemen were listed on the injury report this week. Also lost two tight ends last game and the secondary is banged up. If you like the Skins, no QB has been pressured more than Russell Wilson this season. The trade for Duane Brown should help in coming weeks but not sure it will in his first game. The Redskins are pretty good at getting after the QB with 20 sacks this year.  But the Skins D has fallen apart in recent games and they’ve failed to cover four in a row. Washington is a scary pick here. 

Cardinals at Niners +2, 39.5 – The Cardinals are the worst inside the red zone in the NFL this season, scoring TDs just 40.9% of the time. These are ranked the fourth-worst and second-worst O-lines by NFL.com this season. 

Chiefs at Cowboys -1, 51 – Chiefs are 9-1 SU & ATS their last 10 games on the road. So tough to play. No shocker this total moved up from 49 to 51 soon after it opened. No. 3 and No. 5 scoring teams in the NFL and they are 1 and 8 in yards per play. The OVER is a combined 11-4 with these teams this year so I’d expect this total to go up even more and I think that’s the right move. 

Raiders at Dolphins +3, 44 – Raiders O-line has allowed the fewest QB hits in the NFL this season. And it’s not really that close: 18, vs Titans have 27 at No. 2. Jay Ajayi gone for Miami so they still need to figure out this offense. Last in the NFL in total offense and points per game.

Lions at Packers +2.5, 43 – The Lions have won their last five games after the bye week but a glaring problem they have this season is scoring in the red zone. They scored zero TDs on five tries in the red zone in a 20-15 loss to Pittsburgh – an NFL record. Know who is best in the red zone this season? The Packers. They score TDs on 73% of their trips this year. 

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