Ravens vs Texans Playoff Preview

Houston has never beaten Baltimore in their short history, losing all five and covering the spread just once.

And they were quickly bet up to 9-point road underdogs here in an AFC divisional playoff game. The Texans won their Wild Card game against the Bengals while the 12-4 Ravens got a week to rest.

While the week off was not officially a bye week, bettors should be wary that Baltimore has been dominant against the spread with an extra week of rest - they are 9-1 ATS the past 10 seasons. The Ravens have also dominated at home, going 18-1 SU in their past 19.

The Texans have covered 4 straight as an underdog but the OVER (which opened at 38 at 5Dimes) has been the best bet when they are dogged, with a 9-2 trend favoring the OVER. A caution however to Baltimore backers - they have failed to cover the spread the past 5 times they were chalk of 9 points or more.

View Houston vs Baltimore Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Bettors looking to side with the Ravens in this one will find them as 7-point favorites , while the total sat at 38 over at BetOnline earlier (check the latest line on our AFC Divisional playoff odds menu).

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Ravens - Texans odds would favor the Texans if the lines were set according to power ranks. Baltimore is rated No. 3 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Texans sit at No. 1. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 29-27 win for the Ravens.

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Ravens Texans Props courtesy of Bovada:

Total Passing Yards – T.J. Yates (HOU)       

Over/Under                 200½

(HOU vs BAL) - What will T.J. Yates have more of?          

TD Passes                    +200

Interceptions               +200

Tie                               +135

Total Rushing Yards – Arian Foster (HOU)

Over/Under                 75½

Will Arian Foster (HOU) score a TD in the game?   

Yes                  -115    

No                   -115   

Total Receiving Yards – Andre Johnson (HOU)      

Over/Under     70½

Total Passing Yards – Joe Flacco (BAL)       

Over/Under                 235½

Will Ray Rice (BAL) score a TD in the game?         

Yes                  -200    

No                   +160  

Total Receiving Yards – Anquan Boldin (BAL)       

Over/Under                 62½

Total Tackles & Assists – Terrell Suggs (BAL)         

Over/Under                 4½

Who will record more Rushing Yards in the game?  

Arian Foster (HOU) RB         +20½ (-115)               

Ray Rice (BAL) RB               -20½ (-115)              

Who will record more Receiving Yards in the game?           

Arian Foster (HOU) RB         +4½ (-115)                 

Ray Rice (BAL) RB               -4½ (-115)               

Total Rushing Yards Houston in the game    

Over/Under                             100½

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Baltimore's No. 12-ranked offense (23.6 PPG) against a Texans defense that ranks No. 4 at 17.4 PPG. The Ravens passing attack has averaged 213.9 yards per game, more than the Texans give up through the air (189.7 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Texans feature the league's No. 6-rated road run defense, allowing 101.2 yards per game. Baltimore, meanwhile, ranks No. 14 in rushing offense at home.

In their last action, Houston was a 31-10 winner at home against the Bengals. They covered the 4–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (41) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Arian Foster tore up the turf for 153 rushing yards in the latest Texans game, a 31-10 win over the Bengals at Reliant Stadium.

The Ravens were a 24-16 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Bengals. They covered the 2.5–point spread as favorites, while the total score (40) made winners of OVER bettors. Ray Rice went over the 100-yard mark (191) in his team's latest effort as Baltimore defeated Cincinnati by a score of 24-16 on Sunday.

Houston Texans Trends:
When playing in January are 3-3
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 6-4

Baltimore Ravens Trends:
When playing in January are 7-3
When playing on turf are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 6-4

A few Texans at Ravens trends to consider:
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games

 

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