The Dallas Cowboys are 6-3 ATS over their last nine Thanksgiving Day games and hope to keep that winning trend going when they host the Washington Redskins at Cowboy Stadium this Turkey Day.
But they face a team that has dominated them ATS. The Redskins are 9-2 ATS is 11 recent meetings with the Cowboys.
Dallas is 4-0 ATS in its last four games against an NFC opponent on Thanksgiving.
Dallas is 3-0 SU over its last three games against Washington but the Redskins are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings between these two NFC East rivals. The total has gone under in five of the last seven games between them.
On the opening line for this matchup, the Cowboys sat as 6-point favorites at shops such as 5Dimes but it was quickly bet down to -3. The total, meanwhile, has been pegged by the oddsmakers at Sportsbook.ag at 46.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Cowboys at No. 12 and the Redskins at No. 8 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 24-22 result in favor of the Redskins.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Dallas's No. 20-ranked offense (21.1 PPG) against a Redskins defense that ranks No. 25 at 25.4 PPG. The Cowboys passing attack has averaged 284.3 yards per game, less than the Redskins give up through the air (289.2 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Redskins feature the league's No. 10-rated road run defense, allowing 93.4 yards per game. Dallas, meanwhile, ranks No. 32 in rushing offense at home.
Last time out for Washington, they were a 31-6 winner as they battled the Eagles at home. The Redskins covered in the match as a 3.5-point favorite, while 37 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Robert Griffin III dusted the Eagles secondary for 4 TDs last time out as the Redskins defeated Philadelphia 31-6 at FedExField.
Dallas won its last outing, a 23-20 result against the Browns on November 18. The Cowboys failed to cover in that game as a 7-point favorite, while the 43 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Tony Romo led his team to victory last time out, throwing for 313 yards Sunday as the Cowboys downed the Browns 23-20 at Cowboys Stadium.
Washington Redskins Trends:
When playing in November are 3-7
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 2-8
When playing within the division are 3-7
Dallas Cowboys Trends:
When playing in November are 8-2
When playing on turf are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the division are 5-5
A few Redskins at Cowboys trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Dallas
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games
Dallas is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Washington
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 13 games
Washington home to NY Giants, Monday, December 3
Dallas home to Philadelphia, Sunday, December 2