Saints vs. Panthers Week 16 Odds
The NFC South title is on the line, when the suddenly up-and-down New Orleans Saints head to the Carolina Panthers.
The Saints beat up on the Panthers two weeks ago in the Superdome, but laid an egg in an embarrassing loss to the St. Louis Rams last week and now head to Carolina as underdogs at Bovada.
The Panthers bounced back from their loss to the Saints with an emphatic win over the New York Jets. Carolina is 5-1-1 against the spread at home this season.
The point spread opened with the Panthers favored by 2.5, but the number was sitting at minus-3 early in the week.
The Saints are 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 road games and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 meetings with the Panthers.
They battle the Saints, currently with a 10-4 mark (7-6-1 ATS). The over under records, important for totals bettors, are 5-9 for the Panthers and 5-9 for the Saints.
The visitors opened as 2.5-point underdogs in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark (including BetOnline), while the total was hovering around 46.5 at most shops.
According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 3-rated Panthers and the No. 5-rated Saints in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 27-25 win for the Panthers on Sunday.
New Orleans was a 27-16 loser in its last match on the road against the Rams. They failed to cover the 6.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 43 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. Drew Brees's 393-yard performance through the air wasn't enough last time out, as St. Louis earned a 27-16 win over New Orleans on Sunday at Edward Jones Dome. The Panthers grabbed a Week 15 victory over the Jets in their last game, winning 30-20 at Bank of America Stadium.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Carolina's No. 17-ranked offense (23.43 PPG) against a Saints defense that ranks No. 5 at 19.29 PPG. The Panthers passing attack has averaged 196.64 yards per game, more than the Saints give up through the air (196.36 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Saints feature the league's No. 28-rated road run defense, allowing 136.43 yards per game. Carolina, meanwhile, ranks No. 8 in rushing offense at home.
A few Saints at Panthers trends to consider:
New Orleans is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Carolina is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Carolina is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games
Carolina is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
New Orleans home to Tampa Bay, Sunday, December 29th
Carolina at Atlanta, Sunday, December 29th