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Saints vs Broncos: Sunday Night Pick

There should be plenty of offense when two of the NFL's best quarterbacks collide when the New Orleans Sainst visit the Denver Broncos this Sunday night at Mile High Stadium.

The total has gone OVER in 10 of New Orleans' last 11 games and in six of Denver's last eight.

The total has also gone OVER in five of the last six games between these two teams. Denver is 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS in its last three games against the Saints.

View New Orleans vs Denver Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Sportsbooks such as Bovada had the Broncos pegged as 4.5-point favorites in this matchup. The total, meanwhile, was listed by books like TopBet at 54.5.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
It's a betting matchup between the No. 11-rated Broncos and the No. 30-ranked Saints, according to the NFL Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 33-27 result in favor of the Broncos.

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How They Match Up:
The game also pits Denver's No. 7-ranked offense, averaging 28.3 PPG, against a Saints defense that ranks No. 29 this week at 30.3 PPG. The Broncos aerial game is averaging 290.8 yards per game, less than the Saints secondary allows through the air, 305.2 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Saints own the league's No. 25-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 139.7 yards per game when on the road. Denver, on the other hand, rates No. 20 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

New Orleans won its last outing, a 35-28 result against the Buccaneers on October 21. The Saints covered in that game as a 1.5-point favorite, while the 63 combined points took the game OVER the total. In their last game, the Saints got 4 passing scores out of Drew Brees en route to a 35-28 win over the Buccaneers on Sunday at Raymond James Stadium.

The Broncos were a 35-24 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Chargers. They covered the 1-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (59) made winners of OVER bettors. Denver comes off a game where it received a 3-TD performance from Peyton Manning in defeating the Chargers 35-24.

New Orleans Saints Trends:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 6-4

Denver Broncos Trends:
When playing in October are 2-8
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 4-6

A few Saints at Broncos trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of New Orleans's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Denver
New Orleans is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Denver's last 22 games at home
Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans

Next up:
New Orleans home to Philadelphia, Monday, November 5
Denver at Cincinnati, Sunday, November 4