Saints vs Falcons Betting Matchup Report
The New Orleans Saints have won three straight and eight of their last 10 games against the Atlanta Falcons and will try to break Atlanta's undefeated streak when they host the Falcons this Sunday at the Superdome.
New Orleans is 3-0 SU and ATS in its last three games against Atlanta and has won 10 of 12 going back six seasons.
Atlanta is a perfect 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS on the season. New Orleans is 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS over its last five games. Both teams have been dominant in the month of November, with the Saints winning 12 straight.
Still, the spread has been bet up to -3 at Bovada and some other online sportsbooks.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The game pits the Saints, currently No. 30 in our OddsShark NFL Power Rankings, against the Falcons, who rate No. 9 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 35-24 victory for the Falcons.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits New Orleans's No. 8-ranked offense, averaging 27.2 PPG, against a Falcons defense that ranks No. 5 this week at 17.9 PPG. The Saints aerial game is averaging 305.4 yards per game, more than the Falcons secondary allows through the air, 228.8 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Falcons own the league's No. 19-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 122.2 yards per game when on the road. New Orleans, on the other hand, rates No. 27 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
The Falcons were a 19-13 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Cowboys. They covered the 4-point spread as favorites, while the total score (32) made winners of UNDER bettors. Matt Ryan throttled the Cowboys defense in his team's most recent action, throwing for 342 yards and 0 scores as Atlanta handed Dallas a 19-13 defeat.
Last time out for New Orleans, they were a 28-13 winner as they battled the Eagles at home. The Saints covered in the match as a 2.5-point favorite, while 41 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Last time out, New Orleans got 2 scoring strikes from Drew Brees in a 28-13 win over Philadelphia.
Atlanta Falcons Trends:
When playing in November are 9-1
When playing on turf are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the division are 6-4
New Orleans Saints Trends:
When playing in November are 10-0
When playing on turf are 8-2
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the division are 7-3
A few Falcons at Saints trends to consider:
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games
New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
New Orleans is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Atlanta home to Arizona, Sunday, November 18
New Orleans at Oakland, Sunday, November 18