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Tennessee Titans Betting Odds Preview

The most obvious statement we could make about the Tennessee Titans this season is that they’ll go as far as quarterback Jake Locker will take them. Just like last season the Titans will ultimately live or die by Locker’s hand -as long as he’s healthy enough to be in the lineup.

New Titans head coach Ken Whisenhunt has done wonders with quarterbacks many times in the past and he could do the same for Locker. Again, as long as Locker is on the field.

Tennessee Titans Odds to Win AFC South: +700 at Bovada
Tennessee Titans Odds to Win Super Bowl: 100/1 at Bovada
Tennessee Titans Regular Season Win Total: 7 at Bovada
Tennessee Titans Betting Props: Bishop Sankey to Win Offensive ROY 9/1 at Bovada

The Titans got off to a solid start last season, winning three of their first four games before Locker suffered his first injury. Tennessee won only one of their next six games and two of their next eight. Locker did return during the middle of that stretch, but in early November sustained a Lisfranc injury that ended his season. In total, Locker saw action in only seven games, passing for 1,256 yards with eight touchdowns and four interceptions. The Titans were 4-3 in those seven games, compared to 3-6 without him.

Following Kenny Britt’s departure (who did very little last year anyway) Locker’s top targets will be Kendall Wright and veteran Nate Washington. Also on the radar is Justin Hunter, who had some big games last season and may be ready to knock Washington down the depth chart. The running game is starting over following the exodus of Chris Johnson. He had lost a step and his negative influence in the locker room won’t be missed. Bishop Sankey was drafted in the second round and should start the season sharing the load with veteran Shonn Greene.

Defensively the Titans remain a work in progress for new defensive coordinator Ray Horton. A middle of the pack unit last season, the Titans defense could be in for some early season growing pains as Horton transitions them to the 3-4 defense. Tennessee tried to upgrade the linebackers for the shift by adding veteran Shaun Phillips and Wesley Woodyard. Phillips had 10 sacks with Denver last year, but at 33 years of age how many seasons like that does he have left in him?

The biggest challenge for the Titans defense will be replacing cornerback Alterraun Verner. He had a breakout season last year, leading the Titans with five interceptions to earn his first trip to the Pro Bowl. It also earned him a big contract in Tampa Bay. Blidi Wreh-Wilson will likely inherit his spot, which could be trouble considering he saw limited action last year as a rookie.

There was no home field advantage for the Titans last season with their 1-6-1 record ATS at home. Overall they posted a lackluster 6-8-2 ATS record.

AFC South Odds at Bovada as of August 5
Indianapolis Colts -200
Houston Texans +300
Tennessee Titans +700
Jacksonville Jaguars +1400

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Coming off of a 6-10 season, the Tennessee Titans enter the 2013 season with low expectations surrounding them. There is enough talent on offense here for the team to turn some heads, but it will take a perfect storm of everything clicking for the Titans to compete in the AFC South.

Odds to Win AFC South: +750 at Bovada
Regular Season Win Total: 6.5 at Bovada
Betting Props: Chris Johnson to win NFL MVP (50/1) at Bovada

Tennessee finished 6-10 both SU and ATS, struggling on both offense and defense. While the defense is likely to struggle again in 2013, all eyes are on the offense to show improvement.

In games that Chris Johnson rushed for 90 or more yards, the Titans were 4-3 SU and ATS; leaving them with a record of 3-7 SU and ATS in the 10 games that he didn’t. Since rushing for 2006 yards back in 2009, Johnson has been inconsistent on a game-to-game basis over the last three years, looking elite in some games and terrible in others. Can he return to form in 2013?

QB Jake Locker has also struggled with consistency over the course of his young NFL career, in large part due to injury issues. Locker’s backup over the last two seasons, Matt Hasselbeck, has been replaced by Ryan Fitzpatrick. Locker has the arm strength, size, and mobility to be a great quarterback at the NFL level, but he needs to work on his accuracy and stay on the field if he wants to take the next step in his development.

Add wide receiver Kenny Britt to the list of offensive talents that aren’t hitting their potential. Britt’s size and speed suggest he could be an elite wide receiver in the NFL, but he hasn’t been able to get over the hump through his first four seasons.

Tennessee will need its offensive stars to be great if last year’s defense is any indication. The Titans finished dead last in the NFL in points allowed in 2012 with 29.4 per game, giving up 374.9 yards per game in the process. Things don’t figure to be a whole lot better this year.

AFC South Odds at Bovada as of July 28
Houston Texans -225
Indianapolis Colts +240
Tennessee Titans +750
Jacksonville Jaguars +2500