It's rare to see the Colts open as such a huge underdog, but the absence of Peyton Manning and playing on the road against a hungry Houston Texans team has Indy as 9-point underdogs.
There are two huge OVER trends for Houston, as it has prevailed in 10 of the past 12 games vs the Colts and in 11 of the past 13 games in September.
But beware some historical facts: Indy is 16-2 SU lifetime against the Texans; Houston is 1-6 ATS their past 7 season openers; the Colts have been cover machines in Week 1 on the road and generally in the mon th of September.
Betting Line: Houston opened as 2-point favorites but the game moved all the way up to -9 when it became apparent Manning would not play, while the NFL total was set at 47 for over under betting. That number has also been bet down (to 43 at GTbets), in part because Arian Foster is questionable for the Texans.
Power Rankings / Prediction: According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 17-rated Texans and the No. 19-rated Colts in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 29-23 win for the Colts on Sunday.
ADVERTISEMENT: If the game is a blowout at halftime and your team is losing, surrender! Ditch the losing bet at halftime and GTbets will give you back half your wager.
Indianapolis Colts Trends:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the division are 8-2
Houston Texans Trends:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on grass are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing within the division are 3-7
A few Colts at Texans trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games on the road
Indianapolis is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Indianapolis's last 12 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Houston's last 12 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Indianapolis home to Cleveland, Sunday, September 18
Houston at Miami, Sunday, September 18