Cleveland struggles to score and Houston continues to make due without WR Andre Johnson as the teams hook up on the Week 9 NFL odds menu.
Not surprisingly, these teams have played 5 straight unders when they meet. The UNDER angle has also prevailed lately when the Texans are favored (7-1 past 8 times).
For the Browns, they have struggled to win on the road in November, but they have been pretty adept at covering the point spread (they are 2-7 SU but 7-2 ATS). The Browns opened as double-digit road underdogs and this line bears watching as it may climb during the week.
Houston opened as 10.5-point favorites , while the NFL total was set at 40.5 for over under betting. The number has been bet up to -12, meaning a +12 underdog line on the Browns over at 5Dimes as of late Saturday.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The game pits the Texans, currently No. 1 in our OddsShark NFL Power Rankings, against the Browns, who rate No. 21 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 27-15 victory for the Texans.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Houston's No. 8-ranked offense, averaging 25.8 PPG, against a Browns defense that ranks No. 8 this week at 20 PPG. The Texans aerial game is averaging 253.4 yards per game, more than the Browns secondary allows through the air, 171.9 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Browns own the league's No. 27-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 144.7 yards per game when on the road. Houston, on the other hand, rates No. 8 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Cleveland lost its last outing, a 20-10 result against the 49ers on October 30. The Browns failed to cover in that game as a 9-point underdog, while the 30 combined points took the game UNDER the total. The Browns suffered a Week 8 loss against San Francisco in their last game, falling 20-10 at Candlestick Park.
In their last action, Houston was a 24-14 winner at home against the Jaguars. They covered the 9.5–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (38) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. Arian Foster tore up the turf for 112 rushing yards in the latest Texans game, a 24-14 win over the Jaguars at Reliant Stadium.
Cleveland Browns Trends:
When playing in November are 2-8
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 5-5
Houston Texans Trends:
When playing in November are 3-7
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 2-8
A few Browns at Texans trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cleveland is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Cleveland home to St. Louis, Sunday, November 13
Houston at Tampa Bay, Sunday, November 13