Texans host Patriots in Week 13 action
|New England Patriots||Houston Texans|
Coming off a huge comeback victory over the top-seeded team in the AFC the New England Patriots are now just a game back in the battle for the best record in the conference.
This week the 8-3 Patriots will try to avoid a letdown when they visit the downtrodden Houston Texans Sunday afternoon (1 pm ET, CBS).
New England trailed Denver Sunday night 24-0 at the half, then scored the next 31 points. The Broncos forced overtime, but the Pats won it on a Gostkowski field goal 34-31.
So New England now owns the two seed in the AFC.
On the sorry side of this match-up 2-9 Houston has hit rock-bottom, after losing as 10-point home chalk to Jacksonville Sunday 13-6. As of early this week the Patriots were favored by eight points over the Texans.
Some Houston vs New England trends to consider include the Texans are 1-4 SU & ATS lifetime vs Patriots; all five career meetings played OVER the total; the Pats lost three straight road games (1-5-1 ATS past seven on road) and Houston rides a 0-6 ATS home streak.
The Patriots will look to vanquish their hosts on Sunday, as they are 6-5 ATS versus the spread this season, while the Texans are 2-9 ATS. New England is 5-6 against the total, while Houston is 7-4 versus the number.
Sportsbooks, including 5Dimes, had set the Texans as 3-point underdogs on the opening line for this contest. The total was hovering around 47 earlier in the week (check for the current over-under lines at BetOnline).
The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Texans at No. 26 and the Patriots at No. 7 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 26-14 result in favor of the Patriots.
The Patriots were a 34-31 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Broncos. They covered the 2-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (65) made winners of OVER bettors. In their last game, the Texans were Week 12 losers coming out on the wrong end of 13-6 score against Jacksonville.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Houston's No. 30-ranked offense (18.09 PPG) against a Patriots defense that ranks No. 9 at 20.91 PPG. The Texans passing attack has averaged 247.09 yards per game, more than the Patriots give up through the air (220.36 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Patriots feature the league's No. 25-rated road run defense, allowing 127.2 yards per game. Houston, meanwhile, ranks No. 10 in rushing offense at home.
A few Patriots at Texans trends to consider:
New England is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
New England is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 6 games
New England is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Houston is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
New England home to Cleveland, Sunday, December 8th
Houston at Jacksonville, Thursday, December 5th