Vikings face Packers in Week 12 odds
|Minnesota Vikings||Green Bay Packers|
The Green Bay Packers are finding life without Aaron Rodgers very tough to handle, losing their last three games with their starting QB sidelined with a shoulder injury.
Green Bay will try to snap that three-game losing streak and stay alive in the NFC playoff picture when it plays host to the Minnesota Vikings for an NFC North grudge match Sunday afternoon at Lambeau Field (1 pm ET, Fox).
The Packers just lost to the Giants out in Jersey 27-13, falling to 0-3 ATS without Rodgers. At 5-5 Green Bay is now a game back of first-place Detroit in the NFC North, and a game (and a tie-breaker) behind both Chicago and San Francisco in the battle for the second NFC wild-card spot.
Scott Tolzein, who has looked good at times in relief of Rodgers, is expected to make his second career NFL start Sunday.
Minnesota, meanwhile, is playing out the string on this season, after making the playoffs last year.
Green Bay has won seven of the last eight meetings in this series, although Rodgers started each of those games. The Packers are 6-1 ATS past seven at home to Vikings and 12-2 ATS in their past 14 divisional games. Again, all that data relates to Rodgers at QB.
In the early betting the Packers were favored by 3.5 points at BetOnline over the Vikes.
They battle the Vikings, currently with a 2-8 mark (4-6 ATS). The over under records, important for totals bettors, are 4-6 for the Packers and 8-2 for the Vikings.
The game pits the Packers, currently No. 9 in our OddsShark NFL Power Rankings, against the Vikings, who rate No. 30 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 26-17 victory for the Packers.
The Vikings were a 41-20 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Seahawks. They failed to cover the 13-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (61) made winners of OVER bettors. In their last game, Green Bay's aerial attack generated 339 yards but it was the Giants coming away with a 27-13 victory over Green Bay at MetLife Stadium.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Green Bay's No. 7-ranked offense, averaging 25.8 PPG, against a Vikings defense that ranks No. 32 this week at 32 PPG. The Packers aerial game is averaging 283.1 yards per game, more than the Vikings secondary allows through the air, 280.1 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Vikings feature the league's No. 4-rated road run defense, allowing 86.4 yards per game. Green Bay, meanwhile, ranks No. 6 in rushing offense at home.
A few Vikings at Packers trends to consider:
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 10 games
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Green Bay is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Green Bay's last 7 games
Green Bay is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Green Bay is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
Minnesota home to Chicago, Sunday, December 1st
Green Bay at Detroit, Thursday, November 28th