Falcons Road Chalk vs. Bears in Week 1
The Falcons opened as 1-point favorites, but they have been bet up to -3 on the point spread as they visit Chicago in Week 1.
The Bears are seldom a home underdog, so they are tempting, but the total is more appealing - Chicago has played 6 straight Week 1 UNDERs and the past 6 meetings between these teams have all played UNDER the total. Atlanta also owns a 11-2 run favoring the UNDER when they play on the road in September. That enough trends for you?
Betting Line: The Bears are listed as 1-point underdogs at sportsbooks, with the total listed at 41.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The Bears - Falcons odds would favor the Falcons if the lines were set according to power ranks. Chicago is rated No. 16 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Falcons sit at No. 7. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 29-24 win for the Falcons.
Atlanta Falcons Trends:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 8-2
Chicago Bears Trends:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 6-4
A few Falcons at Bears trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games
Atlanta home to Philadelphia, Sunday, September 18
Chicago at New Orleans, Sunday, September 18