Week 10 odds - Bills vs. Patriots
Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots Odds
The New England Patriots are a remarkable 17-1 SU and 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games against the Buffalo Bills and will try to keep that dominance going this Sunday at Gilette Stadium. The Patriots are 19-4 SU in their last 23 games at home.
Buffalo is just 2-10 SU and 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road. The total has gone OVER in each of New England's last five games and in eight of Buffalo's last 11 games.
Those siding with the visitors in this matchup saw the Bills listed as 9.5-point underdogs at shops such as Bovada. Meanwhile, the over under line for the matchup was at 51 over at Sportsbook.ag.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Patriots rated this week at No. 3 and the Bills sitting at No. 29. It may or may not play a role in OddsShark score prediction models that turned out a 38-18 result in favor of the Patriots this week.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up New England's No. 1-ranked offense (32.8 PPG) against a Bills defense that ranks No. 31 at 31 PPG. The Patriots passing attack has averaged 291.1 yards per game, more than the Bills give up through the air (248.4 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Bills feature the league's No. 29-rated road run defense, allowing 152.4 yards per game. New England, meanwhile, ranks No. 4 in rushing offense at home.
Buffalo lost its last outing, a 21-9 result against the Texans on November 4. The Bills failed to cover in that game as a 11.5-point underdog, while the 30 combined points took the game UNDER the total. In their last game, the Bills were Week 9 losers coming out on the wrong end of 21-9 score against Houston.
The Patriots were a 45-7 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Rams. They covered the 7-point spread as favorites, while the total score (52) made winners of OVER bettors. In their last game, the Patriots got 4 passing scores out of Tom Brady en route to a 45-7 win over the Rams on Sunday at Wembley Stadium.
Buffalo Bills Trends:
When playing in November are 3-7
When playing on turf are 2-8
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the division are 1-9
New England Patriots Trends:
When playing in November are 7-3
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the division are 8-2
A few Bills at Patriots trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Buffalo's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Buffalo's last 13 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
New England is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games when playing Buffalo
New England is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games at home
Buffalo home to Miami, Thursday, November 15
New England home to Indianapolis, Sunday, November 18