The New England Patriots have lost two straight and the aura of Super Bowl contender is rubbing off as they hit the road in Week 10 for a tough divisional battle against the Jets.
The Pats are underdogs for the first time this season (they were dogged only twice in 2010 as well) and they are 9-3 ATS past 12 games as an NFL underdog. If the line swings to the Patriots during the week, bettors know they are 8-1 ATS past 9 games when a favorite of 2 or less ppoints.
Of note, the OVER is 9-1 past in the past 10 New England games within the AFC East. The Jets have also been a solid bet in teh division, going 8-3 ATS past 11 within the AFC East.
View New England vs NY Jets Odds and Stats.
Betting Line:
Sportsbooks had the Jets pegged as 1-point favorites in this matchup. The total, meanwhile, was listed by the books at 48. [ Get tons of Tom Brady props and the best underdog line at Sportsbook today ]
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Power Rankings at OddsShark have the No. 15-rated Patriots taking on the No. 18-rated Jets in this contest. Handicapping models indicate a 29-28 win for the Patriots on Sunday.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up New York's No. 11-ranked offense (24.9 PPG) against a Patriots defense that ranks No. 20 at 23 PPG. The Jets passing attack has averaged 209.5 yards per game, less than the Patriots give up through the air (314 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Patriots own the league's No. 9-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 108.8 yards per game when on the road. New York, on the other hand, rates No. 22 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
New England lost its last outing, a 24-20 result against the Giants on November 6. The Patriots failed to cover in that game as a 9.5-point favorite, while the 44 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Tom Brady led the way last time out for the Patriots, connecting for 342 passing yards, but failing to earn the victory in a 24-20 loss to the Patriots at Gillette Stadium.
New York won its last outing, a 27-11 result against the Bills on November 6. The Jets covered in that game as a 2.5-point underdog, while the 38 combined points took the game UNDER the total. In their last game, the Jets were Week 9 winners, coming out on top of the Bills by a score of 27-11.
New England Patriots Trends:
When playing in November are 5-5
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the division are 7-3
New York Jets Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on turf are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the division are 7-3
A few Patriots at Jets trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games
New England is 8-2 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing NY Jets
New England is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games
NY Jets are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Jets last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 18 of the NY Jets last 25 games
NY Jets are 17-8 SU in their last 25 games
Next up:
New England home to Kansas City, Monday, November 21
NY Jets at Denver, Thursday, November 17
