Chiefs vs. Broncos Sunday Odds Pick
Peyton Manning’s ankle is OK, and the Denver Broncos are big home favorites over the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs in the Sunday primetime game.
Manning underwent an MRI on his sore ankle Monday and was cleared to play against the Chiefs. With Manning, the Broncos began the week as 8-point favorites over a Kansas City team that has won and covered the spread in all four of its road games this season.
Denver won both meetings last year, but this is an entirely different Chiefs team. Under new coach Andy Reid, Kansas City boasts an elite defense and a steady offense.
The total began the week around 51. Eight of nine games involving the Broncos have gone OVER the total. The Chiefs, in contrast, are 2-7 over/under.
The Chiefs are just 3-7 ATS in their past 10 divisional games, while the Broncos are 11-1 SU in their past 12 games vs AFC West foes.
The Chiefs will try to spoil to the party on Sunday; they are 6-3 ATS against the number this season, while the Broncos are 5-4 ATS. Kansas City is 2-7 on the totals; Denver is 8-1.
The Broncos were listed as -8-point favorites at Bovada and other online sportsbooks, with the total listed at one point at 49.5.
It's a betting matchup between the No. 1-rated Broncos and the No. 9-ranked Chiefs, according to the NFL Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 38-35 result in favor of the Broncos.
Last time out for Kansas City, they were a 23-13 winner as they battled the Bills on the road. The Chiefs covered in the match as a 4.5-point favorite, while 36 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. The Chiefs grabbed a Week 9 victory over the Bills in their last game, winning 23-13 at Ralph Wilson Stadium. In their last game, the Broncos got 4 passing scores out of Peyton Manning en route to a 28-20 win over the Chargers on Sunday at Qualcomm Stadium.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Denver's No. 1-ranked offense (41.22 PPG) against a Chiefs defense that ranks No. 1 at 12.33 PPG. The Broncos passing attack has averaged 353.44 yards per game, more than the Chiefs give up through the air (208.33 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Chiefs feature the league's No. 32-rated road run defense, allowing 170.25 yards per game. Denver, meanwhile, ranks No. 13 in rushing offense at home.
A few Chiefs at Broncos trends to consider:
Kansas City is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 9 games
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Denver is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
Denver is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Denver's last 10 games
Denver is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Kansas City at San Diego, Sunday, November 24th
Denver at New England, Sunday, November 24th