Week 11 odds - Colts vs. Patriots
Indianapolis Colts vs New England Patriots Odds
The Indianapolis Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games against the New England Patriots and hope that trend continues when they visit the Pats at Gillette Stadium this Sunday. Indianapolis is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games against New England.
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Indianapolis's last 23 road games and in 18 of New England's last 25 home games. The Colts are 4-0 SU and ATS over their last four games.
Bettors who were going with the Patriots in this one found them listed as 8-point favorites on the betting line at 5Dimes. Totals bettors have seen that number set earlier in the week at 53 for Monday.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Patriots at No. 3 and the Colts at No. 17 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 36-23 result in favor of the Patriots.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits New England's No. 1-ranked offense, averaging 33.2 PPG, against a Colts defense that ranks No. 15 this week at 22.3 PPG. The Patriots aerial game is averaging 284.3 yards per game, more than the Colts secondary allows through the air, 230.2 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Colts feature the league's No. 23-rated road run defense, allowing 128.8 yards per game. New England, meanwhile, ranks No. 6 in rushing offense at home.
Last time out for Indianapolis, they were a 27-10 winner as they battled the Jaguars on the road. The Colts covered in the match as a 3-point favorite, while 37 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. In their latest action on Thursday at Stadum, Andrew Luck rumbled through the Jacksonville defense for 2 TDs as Indianapolis won 27-10.
Last time out for New England, they were a 37-31 winner as they battled the Bills at home. The Patriots failed to cover in the match as a 13.5-point favorite, while 68 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Last time out, New England got 2 scoring strikes from Tom Brady in a 37-31 win over Buffalo.
Indianapolis Colts Trends:
When playing in November are 4-6
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 4-6
New England Patriots Trends:
When playing in November are 7-3
When playing on turf are 6-4
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 6-4
A few Colts at Patriots trends to consider:
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Indianapolis's last 23 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games
New England is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
New England is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games at home
Indianapolis home to Buffalo, Sunday, November 25
New England at NY Jets, Thursday, November 22