Chargers vs Jaguars MNF Pick
San Diego is on its longest losing skid in a decade but a trend points to them winning and covering the Monday Night point spread in Week 13.
The Chargers visit the Jacksonville Jaguars, who just sacked head coach Jack Del Rio. All four career meetings between these teams played OVER the total and the home team won and covered the NFL point spread in each game.
[ Click here for dozens of Monday Night Football Props on the Jaguars vs Chargers game, including Philip Rivers odds and more ]
Of note, the Jaguars have played 6 straight MNF UNDERs and the UNDER is 9-1 in the past 10 Jaguars games as an underdog. San Diego is 1-6 ATS in its past 7 road games.
Sportsbooks have set the Jaguars as 3-point underdogs on the opening line for this contest and it hasn't budged all week. You get the best dog value at Bovada with +3, +110. The total was listed at 37.5 and is now 39 at shops such as BetOnline.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Jacksonville's No. 32-ranked offense (12.5 PPG) against a Chargers defense that ranks No. 26 at 25 PPG. The Jaguars passing attack has averaged 131.3 yards per game, less than the Chargers give up through the air (205.3 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Chargers own the league's No. 19-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 120.8 yards per game when on the road. Jacksonville, on the other hand, rates No. 15 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
The Chargers were a 16-13 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Broncos. They failed to cover the 4–point spread as favorites, while the total score (29) made winners of UNDER bettors. In their last game, San Diego got a 137-yard performance from Ryan Mathews, but Denver prevailed 16-13.
The Jaguars were a 20-13 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Texans. They failed to cover the 6–point spread as underdogs, while the total score (33) made winners of UNDER bettors. The Jaguars suffered a Week 12 loss against Houston in their last game, falling 20-13 at EverBank Field.
San Diego Chargers Trends:
When playing in December are 8-2
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 5-5
Jacksonville Jaguars Trends:
When playing in December are 3-7
When playing on grass are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 2-8
When playing outside the division are 2-8
A few Chargers at Jaguars trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games on the road
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Diego is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
San Diego is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games at home
Jacksonville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Jacksonville is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
San Diego home to Buffalo, Sunday, December 11
Jacksonville home to Tampa Bay, Sunday, December 11