Week 15 Betting: Saints vs. Rams
The New Orleans Saints bounced back after that dismal loss at Seattle to earn a huge divisional victory over Carolina Sunday night.
New Orleans now leads the NFC South by a game and a tiebreaker and has a good shot at earning a wild-card bye for the upcoming playoffs.
Two victories in their last three games, beginning with a divisional road bout at St. Louis Sunday, would lock up the two seed in the NFC for the Saints.
One week after going down to the Seahawks 34-7 New Orleans drubbed a hot Carolina team 31-13 Sunday night.
The Rams, meanwhile, have lost two in a row and five of their last seven, scoring a total of 23 points over their last two games.
As of early this week the Saints, who lost outright as two-touchdown favorites the last time they played St. Louis, were favored by six points for Sunday's game at Bovada.
The Saints will try to spoil to the party on Sunday; they are 7-5-1 ATS against the number this season, while the Rams are 5-8 ATS. New Orleans is 5-8 on the totals; St. Louis is 9-4.
Sportsbooks, including BetOnline, had set the Rams as 4.5-point underdogs on the opening line for this contest. The total was hovering around 46.5 earlier in the week (check for the current over-under lines).
It's a betting matchup between the No. 17-rated Rams and the No. 3-ranked Saints, according to the NFL Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 28-20 result in favor of the Saints.
The Saints were a 31-13 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Panthers. They covered the 3-point spread as favorites, while the total score (44) made winners of UNDER bettors.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up St. Louis's No. 20-ranked offense (22.23 PPG) against a Saints defense that ranks No. 5 at 18.69 PPG. The Rams passing attack has averaged 205.69 yards per game, more than the Saints give up through the air (199.31 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Saints feature the league's No. 28-rated road run defense, allowing 135.17 yards per game. St. Louis, meanwhile, ranks No. 6 in rushing offense at home.
A few Saints at Rams trends to consider:
New Orleans is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
New Orleans is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Louis's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games at home
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans at Carolina, Sunday, December 22nd
St. Louis home to Tampa Bay, Sunday, December 22nd