The Houston Texans will look to take an early stranglehold on the AFC South Sunday on the road against the Jacksonville Jaguars at Everbank Field.
And they have been a solid bet in this favorite role lately, going 10-3 ATS in the past 13 games.
With Houston winning last Sunday and Jacksonville, Indianapolis and Tennessee all losing, the AFC South favorites have the early lead and may not look back with a road win this week. Houston is a big 8-point road favorite at Sportsbook.ag, but the total might be the best bet - the OVER is 16-3 in the past 19 Houston September road games.
These two teams have split their last 10 games 5-5, but Houston is 6-3 ATS in their last nine meetings and 3-0 SU in their last three.
Bettors looking to side with the Jaguars in this one will find them as 7-point underdogs at 5Dimes, while the total sits at 41.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game matches up the No. 17 (Jaguars) and the No. 4 (Texans) teams in the league, according to our current NFL Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 42-19 result in favor of the Texans is predicted by handicapping models.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Jacksonville's No. 16-ranked offense (23 PPG) against a Texans defense that ranks No. 1 at 10 PPG. The Jaguars passing attack has averaged 242 yards per game, more than the Texans give up through the air (196 YPG on average).
In their last action, Houston was a 30-10 winner at home against the Dolphins. They covered the 13-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (40) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. In their last gridiron battle, Andre Johnson did much of the damage, producing 119 receiving yards as Houston beat the Dolphins 30-10 at Reliant Stadium.
In their last action, Jacksonville was a 26-23 loser on the road against the Vikings. They covered the 3.5-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (49) was profitable news for OVER bettors. The Jaguars's last action saw them get a 2-TD performance from Blaine Gabbert, but they were handed a 26-23 loss by Minnesota at The Metrodome.
Houston Texans Trends:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the division are 6-4
Jacksonville Jaguars Trends:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on grass are 3-7
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the division are 5-5
A few Texans at Jaguars trends to consider:
Houston is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Houston's last 16 games
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
Jacksonville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 9 games when playing at home against Houston
Houston at Denver, Sunday, September 23
Jacksonville at Indianapolis, Sunday, September 23