Week 5 odds - Buccaneers vs. 49ers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers Odds
The result of the Battle of the Bays (Tampa vs San Francisco) is almost always an UNDER play (12-3 past 15 games since 1984).
But this serves as an intriguing battle of surprising 3-1 teams where the visiting Buccaneers are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games on the road. Tampa won here 21-0 last season, snapping an 8-game losing skid dating back to 1980.
The Bucs play on a short week after defeating the Colts on MNF, so watch for the opening point spread and total to be posted.
Sportsbooks have set the 49ers as 2.5-point favorites on the opening line for this contest. The total is listed at 41.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The 49ers - Buccaneers odds would favor the Buccaneers if the lines were set according to power ranks. San Francisco is rated No. 17 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Buccaneers sit at No. 16. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 25-22 win for the 49ers.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up San Francisco's No. 13-ranked offense (23.5 PPG) against a Buccaneers defense that ranks No. 9 at 19.2 PPG. The 49ers passing attack has averaged 177.5 yards per game, less than the Buccaneers give up through the air (267 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Buccaneers feature the league's No. 32-rated road run defense, allowing 186 yards per game. San Francisco, meanwhile, ranks No. 29 in rushing offense at home.
In their last action, Tampa Bay was a 24-17 winner at home against the Colts. They failed to cover the 10–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (41) was profitable news for OVER bettors. In their last game, Tampa Bay got a 127-yard performance from LeGarrette Blount as a key part of its 24-17 win over Indianapolis.
San Francisco won its last outing, a 24-23 result against the Eagles on October 2. The 49ers covered in that game as a 10-point underdog, while the 47 combined points took the game OVER the total. Frank Gore tore up the turf for 127 rushing yards in the latest 49ers game, a 24-23 win over the Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Trends:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 7-3
San Francisco 49ers Trends:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 4-6
A few Buccaneers at 49ers trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing San Francisco
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games at home
Tampa Bay home to New Orleans, Sunday, October 16
San Francisco at Detroit, Sunday, October 16