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Packers vs Vikings Line Preview

If the Packers are going to lose in 2011, this is probably not the spot it will happen.

They lead the league in scoring, are 6-2 ATS in the past eight trips to Minnesota, and seem unbeatable. Hence the fat 9.5-point opening point spread, a huge number on the road against a divisional rival.

Green Bay wants to hit the bye week at 7-0 and the OVER has been a consistent bet on them in this situation (6-2 in the past eight seasons before a bye week). Minnesota meanwhile is just 1-12 SU in its past 13 games as an underdog.

View Green Bay vs Minnesota Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
The Packers are listed as 9.5-point favorites at sportsbooks, with the total listed at 47.5.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Power Rankings at OddsShark have the No. 6-rated Packers taking on the No. 19-rated Vikings in this contest. Handicapping models indicate a 38-20 win for the Packers on Sunday.

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How They Match Up:
The game also pits Minnesota's No. 21-ranked offense, averaging 20.2 PPG, against a Packers defense that ranks No. 7 this week at 19 PPG. The Vikings aerial game is averaging 168.7 yards per game, less than the Packers secondary allows through the air, 299.7 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Packers feature the league's No. 1-rated road run defense, allowing 59.7 yards per game. Minnesota, meanwhile, ranks No. 2 in rushing offense at home.

Last time out for Green Bay, they were a 24-3 winner as they battled the Rams at home. The Packers covered in the match as a 14-point favorite, while 27 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. In their last game, the Packers got 3 passing scores out of Aaron Rodgers en route to a 24-3 win over the Rams on Sunday at Lambeau Field.

Minnesota lost its last outing, a 39-10 result against the Bears on October 16. The Vikings failed to cover in that game as a 2.5-point underdog, while the 49 combined points took the game OVER the total.

Green Bay Packers Trends:
When playing in October are 8-2
When playing on turf are 6-4
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing within the division are 8-2

Minnesota Vikings Trends:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing within the division are 2-8

A few Packers at Vikings trends to consider:
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Green Bay's last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Minnesota is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home

Next up:
Green Bay at San Diego, Sunday, November 6
Minnesota at Carolina, Sunday, October 30

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