Why NFL Prop Betting can be Profitable
NFL betting is often centered on the point spread and the over/under total, but the proliferation of online sportsbooks – and football fantasy leagues – has made proposition betting a go-to wager for pigskin bettors.
Fantasy football experts have become so saavy with statistics that they can beat the oddsmakers’ player prop odds from week to week. As long as you learn how to pick your spots – and do your research – prop betting can be profitable for you too.
Look Beyond the 'Fun' Betting Props
Prop betting can be enjoyable, but why stop there? Sure, it’s fun to bet the over/under on the length of the national anthem at the Super Bowl, but when there’s money to be made it doesn't have to end with the laughs.
Prop betting lets you in on all sorts of events, from quarterback passing yards to defensive touchdowns to the coin toss, and that doesn’t even scratch the surface of the myriad props you’ll see from the books when the Super Bowl rolls around.
Maximize Your NFL Prop Bet Winnings
There are things you can do to maximize your winnings when betting props. Stick to what you know well and can research, and don’t waste your time on props that are really about dumb luck. For example: Don’t bet on the coin toss. Over time, you’ll always have a 50% chance of winning that bet, and that’s something you can take to the bank, obviously.
If you’ve been following a particular team, and know their tendencies, that’s where to look for value. Keep an eye on the weekly injury reports and latest game matchups and you could find a player prop that suits you on any given Sunday.
Another rule of thumb is to evaluate the spread. In blowouts, the team that’s leading tends to run the ball to milk the clock, while the trailing squad tends to open up the air attack. The score of the game has a direct effect on statistical output, so handicap props accordingly.