NHL scoring is well up since the all-star break and it’s starting to seriously affect totals. The Penguins (33-13-5) are around -200 favorites tonight in a game they’ll host against the Flames (27-25-3) that opened with a total of 6 – something that’s starting to happen with extraordinary regularity.
- Pittsburgh is 8-2-0 in its last 10 games against the Flames.
- The Flames are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games with 1 day off between games.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of the Penguins' last 7 games at home.
The Penguins come into this contest tonight on a three-game winning streak in which they’ve scored four goals in each matchup. They’re expected to be without Evgeni Malkin for at least one more day but haven’t missed a beat with Nick Bonino filling in for him as the second-line center. Pittsburgh’s roster is built in such a way that the team can fill a talent void when one of its skill guys goes down and it should be more than OK tonight.
The Flames have been hard to gauge this season as they’ve been incredibly up and down. They’ve won three of their last four games and they’ve scored at least one power-play goal in each of their past three. That trend goes against what they’ve been able to do against the Penguins over the last five seasons as they have a less than pedestrian 7.32 power play conversion percentage in their last 10 games versus Pittsburgh.
OVER 6 is a tough bet tonight with the goalies who are likely to get the starts both in great form. I’d steer clear of the total this evening and possibly target the Penguins on the puckline as they’re up a lot of money at home with a 13-14 ATS record at the PPG Paints Arena.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
If you're going with the Pittsburgh Penguins in this one, they were listed as moneyline favorites of -220 on most NHL hockey betting menus (such as Sportsbook) early today for Tuesday's contest. The over-under total was at 6 earlier at Sportsbook.
Odds Shark computer prediction formulas pick a 3.4-2.2 win for the Penguins on Tuesday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NHL matchups here.
Calgary Flames vs Pittsburgh Penguins Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The Pittsburgh Penguins currently sport a record of 33-13-5. The Calgary Flames are 27-25-3. Betting totals have seen the Penguins post a 33-14-4 OVER/UNDER record this season, while the Flames have gone 24-25-6 against the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Pittsburgh vs Calgary injuries news.
The Flames - Penguins odds would favor the Penguins if the lines were set according to our power ranks. Pittsburgh is rated No. 2 in the current Odds Shark poll, while Calgary is at No. 6.
Statistical Matchup
Offensively, the game matches up the Pittsburgh Penguins No. 1-ranked offense (3.61 goals per game) against a Calgary Flames defense that ranks No. 17 at 2.85 goals per game allowed. The Penguins Sportsbook has clicked at a 22.73% rate while the Flames have a 80.1% rate on the penalty kill.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
Calgary lost its last outing, a 4-3 result against the Rangers on February 05. Bettors who backed the Rangers at -170 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (7) sent OVER bettors to the payout window.
The Penguins were a 4-1 Sportsbook in their most recent outing on the road against the Blues. That made Sportsbooks of bettors who got Pittsburgh at +101 on the moneyline, while the total score (5) was good news for OVER bettors.
- Calgary is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games
- Calgary is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
- Calgary is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
- Pittsburgh is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
- Pittsburgh is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games
- Pittsburgh is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
Calgary home to Arizona, Monday, February 13th
Pittsburgh at Colorado, Thursday, February 9th
