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Canadiens on the Brink of Elimination After Faltering in Game 5

Putting forth just a dismal effort in the late stages of the swing game in Montreal on Thursday night, the Canadiens enter Madison Square Garden today trying to stay alive in the series. Bookmakers opened the Habs as a very slight underdog but it’s more than likely they’ll close as the moneyline favorites. Montreal have everything on the line this evening and as has been discussed ad nauseam – the Rangers suck at home.

SHARK BITES
  • The Rangers are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games at home.
  • The visiting team is 9-1 on the puckline in the last 10 games in this matchup.
  • The OVER/UNDER is 2-14-4 in the Rangers’ last 20 playoff games at home.

That last shark bite is one hell of a trend. Just two UNDERs in 20 games? That’s a pretty good indication of how the Blueshirts like to play at MSG in the postseason and with two of the best goalies in the world going head-to-head once again – in a series that’s seen just one OVER – you’d be a crazy person to not bet the UNDER 5.

Carey Price and Henrik Lundqvist have both played commendably for their respective teams but King Henrik has been the best player on the ice. He has a .944 save percentage in the series and he made a few massive saves in Game 5 to help the Rangers steal the win in Montreal. One stop where he stoned Max Pacioretty on a clear breakaway to keep the game tied at twos in the third period was the biggest play of the game – other than the OT winner – but it was an amalgam of Patches’ playoff frustrations. The Habs’ skipper has just one point this postseason and if he doesn’t break out of his slump – he probably won’t be getting any more burgers named after him.

New York was the better team at the end of the third period and into overtime so they’ll have all the momentum going into Game 6. I think they grab a lead in the first and collapse everybody at their own end to protect the lead. I’ll be looking at a Rangers’ first period moneyline wager that can be had at a price of EVEN or better.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

If you're going with the New York Rangers in this one, they were listed as moneyline favorites of -115 on most NHL hockey betting menus (such as Bovada) early today for Saturday's contest. The over-under total was at 5 earlier at Bet365.

Odds Shark score prediction models pick a 3.5-2.1 result in favor of the Rangers today. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NHL matchups here.

Montreal Canadiens vs New York Rangers Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Montreal Canadiens will try to spoil to the party on Saturday; they are 49-28-10 this season, while the Rangers are 51-29-7. Montreal is 30-41-16 on the totals; New York is 41-39-7. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and New York vs Montreal injuries news.

The Odds Shark NHL Power Rankings have the New York Rangers at No. 12 and the Montreal Canadiens at No. 15 heading into this contest.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the New York Rangers No. 4-ranked offense (3.07 goals per game) against a Montreal Canadiens defense that ranks No. 3 at 2.43 goals per game allowed. The Rangers powerplay has clicked at a 19.11% rate while the Canadiens have a 82.26% rate on the penalty kill.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

 

Betting Trends
  • Montreal is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Montreal's last 10 games
  • Montreal is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games on the road
  • NY Rangers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • NY Rangers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Rangers's last 8 games
  • NY Rangers is 1-12 ATS in its last 13 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Montreal home to New York, Monday, April 24th

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