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NHL All-Star Break Betting Recap

While the majority of NHL teams have played around 50 games – give or take – or so this season, it doesn’t take Pythagoras to figure out that we are beyond the actual midway point of the season.

That said, there is no better time to take a look back and find out which teams were the most profitable at the betting window and which teams could be worth looking at in the “second half” of the NHL season.

Be sure to visit Bovada for all of your hockey betting needs.

Top 5 NHL Moneyline Teams
TeamRecordPointsMoney
Washington Capitals35-8-474$1209
Florida Panthers29-15-563$964
Colorado Avalanche27-22-357$928
Arizona Coyotes24-20-553$701
Dallas Stars31-14-567$470

The Caps don’t always have much value on a nightly basis, frequently offered north of -200 in moneyline markets, but their incredibly high winning percentage has kept them on top of the money standings for the bulk of the season. When it comes to the betting window, they’ve cost bettors just 12 times all season long.

Washington has been an underdog just five times this season and with the way they’ve played, barring an injury to a star player or games that backup-netminder Phillip Grubauer starts, there won’t be value with any frequency following the All-Star Game, save for the odd parlay card perhaps.

Don’t expect things to change drastically in the “second half” as the Caps have clearly asserted themselves as the top dog in the standings and at the betting window.

Team To Watch: Anaheim Ducks

The Ducks are currently a big loser at the betting window, down $-677 season-to-date, but the team has started to surge, finally getting results suitable for the talent they feature on the ice night in, night out.

Anaheim has won three-straight games to close out its pre-break schedule and has won five of its last six overall, looking poised to make a late-season surge up the Western Conference standings.

It was a horrific start to the season for the Ducks, losing nine of their first 10 games, but the team is simply too talented to play that poorly. That poor performance out of the gate seems like a distant memory and you can expect more great things from the Ducks in both the standings and at the sports book.

Top 5 NHL Moneyline Home Teams
TeamRecordPointsMoney
Chicago Blackhawks21-5-143$689
Dallas Stars19-638$587
Washington Capitals18-3-238$497
New York Rangers18-5-238$454
Florida Panthers16-7-234$422

The Hawks have turned the United Center into a fortress as they’ve won their last seven games at home heading into the break. Their last loss there came back on December 27 by a score of 2-1 to the Carolina Hurricanes.

Somehow, the Hawks have been just okay away from home, putting together a record of 12-11-3 on their travels, hence why they don’t show up in the overall money standings above.

With such dominant play on home ice, it’s tough not to back them on a nightly basis when in the Windy City.

Team to Watch: San Jose Sharks

Talk about Jekyll and Hyde.

The Sharks have been absolutely dynamite on the road (see below) and have been horrific at home. Through 24 home games, the Sharks have gone just 10-12-2 and have cost bettors a whopping $-751 season to date, making them the second-worst home wager this year.

But the Sharks are a better hockey team than that and perhaps their last game prior to the break, a 6-1 thrashing of the Colorado Avalanche on home ice, is a statement of things to come down the stretch. Furthermore, they did go 4-2 SU in their last six games at the Shark Tank, making them look like a play-on team (finally) at home.

Top 5 NHL Moneyline Road Teams
TeamRecordPointsMoney
Colorado Avalanche15-1230$1137
Boston Bruins15-5-333$806
San Jose Sharks16-6-234$805
Washington Capitals17-5-236$712
Detroit Red WIngs14-6-331$651

The Avs have been an absolutely smoking-hot bet away from Denver and easily own the top road wager honors. They’ve frequently won games when tabbed as dogs of +150 or more making them a tasty option when books have them in that price range on the road.

Wins at Anaheim (+173), Tampa Bay (+180), Nashville (+171), St. Louis (+165), Chicago (+174), San Jose (+159), Dallas (+171) and Los Angeles (+200) are just a few examples of the nice paydays Avs’ backers have enjoyed to date.

Team to Watch: New York Rangers

The Blueshirts were the NHL’s best road team last season (28-11-2) but have been a shell of that squad away from Madison Square Garden this time around. They’ve cost bettors -$725 this season but surely that will balance itself out before the end of the regular season.

As with good team that features a solid overall record but experience troubles away from home, it’s been a consistency issue for the Rangers – beating the Lightning one night, losing to the Panthers the next – as well as the fact they are considerable favorites most nights.

Considering they were the best road team last season, a rebound in form post All-Star break could be something to watch out for in the Rangers’ travels after the break.

Top 5 NHL OVER Teams
TeamRecordO/U RecordGoals per game
San Jose Sharks26-18-428-16-45.59
Arizona Coyotes24-20-523-19-75.61
Montreal Canadiens24-22-423-19-85.32
Calgary Flames21-24-324-22-25.60
Edmonton Oilers19-26-525-22-35.32

It hasn’t been a banner year for OVER bettors as the chart above clearly indicates. In fact, the season-to-date OVER/UNDER record is 288-336 as we head into the All-Star break, clearly favoring scoreliens south of the closing total.

The Sharks have really been the only bastion of OVER prowess that hockey totals bettors have right now. They used a great run to close December that saw their games go 9-2 OVER/UNDER and were still hot going into the break at 4-1-1 OVER/UNDER in their final six contests – including the aforementioned win over the Avalanche in their final game.

Team to Watch: Colorado Avalanche

The Avs have a had a pretty decent run in the first half, charging up the standings where they find themselves fourth in the hyper-competitive Central Division. To date, they’ve put together an OVER/UNDER mark of 24-27-1 which is basically thanks to some outstanding goaltending from Semyon Varlamov.

But that has come to a standstill as the goalie is involved in a trial brought on by his ex-girlfriend stemming from a reported assault charge in 2013. Whether or not this off-ice issue forces Varly to miss more games is to be seen, but if he does, the Avs will potentially be forced to rely on Calvin Pickard and/or Roman Will. Regular backup Reto Berra is out with an ankle injury but has resumed skating at least.

The Avs can score—their 2.73 goals scored per game is seventh in the league, so if their goaltending becomes an issue, they could be an excellent candidate for OVER bettors.

Top 5 NHL UNDER Teams
TeamRecordO/UGoals Per Game
Minnesota Wild23-17-925-15-94.78
Chicago Blackhawks33-16-416-26-115.05
St. Louis Blues28-16-818-27-74.82
Tampa Bay Lightning27-18-417-25-74.94
Los Angeles Kings30-16-313-19-174.86

Naturally, UNDER teams are more plentiful this season and the Minnesota Wild are the top play with 26 of their 49 games finishing UNDER the closing number (with nine pushes).

Defensively, the Wild rank sixth-best in the league with just 2.31 goals allowed and score just 2.47 goals (20th) on their own.

With teams fighting for playoff positions as well as playoff positioning down the stretch and players grabbing the sticks a little tighter with more on the line, we can probably expect the OVER/UNDER trends to continue to skew toward the UNDER.

Team to Watch: Montreal Canadiens

The Habs have been pretty terrible the majority of the time that Carey Price has been sidelined with a leg injury, but they could be a viable UNDER candidate when the Vezina winner returns.

Montreal was at its best at the beginning of the season with Price in the crease and his statistics back up the great play. Price went 10-2 with a 2.06 goals against average and .934 save percentage in his 12 appearances.

The team has had trouble scoring goals of late, so adding this with the return of the league’s best netminder plus the fact that they could be fighting tooth and nail for a playoff spot could make Montreal a dynamite UNDER play down the stretch.

 

* Money results based per $100 bettor on each spot.

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