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NHL: OVERS Trending in Opening Round

Dallas Stars NHL

Some puck bettors feel like blindly backing the UNDER come Stanley Cup playoff time is the way to go if you’re inclined to bet totals. The logic is sound - tighter hockey + solid goaltending = lower scoring – but not exactly true. At least in the first round of the postseason.

While the UNDER in first round games had the slight edge last season, numbers over the course of the previous five opening rounds say that the OVER is the way to wager.

Since the 2011 postseason, OVER has a record of 105-87-38 in the first round; good enough to cash in at rate of 54.7 percent.

First Round O/U Records Since 2011
YearOVERUNDERPUSHOVER %
20151620744.4
20142711871.05
20132118753.85
201214231037.84
20112715664.29
Total105873854.69

The first round of the 2014 NHL postseason in particular was a treasure trove for OVER bettors as the O/U count was 27-11-8 (71.05 percent). Last season trended slightly toward the UNDER as the O/U count was 16-20-7.

Scoring has decreased slightly over the past three seasons as teams averaged 2.71 goals per game during the 2015-16 regular season; down from 2.73 gpg last season and 2.74 gpg in 2013-14.

Here is a look at the OVER/UNDER record for each of the 16 playoff teams.

Playoff Team OVER/UNDER Records
  • Dallas Stars 45-36-36-1 O/U
  • San Jose Sharks 42-33-7 O/U
  • New York Rangers 37-28-17 O/U
  • Pittsburgh Penguins 36-32-14 O/U
  • Tampa Bay Lightning 34-29-9 O/U
  • New York Islanders 34-40-8 O/U
  • Florida Panthers 33-31-18
  • Nashville Predators 33-32-17 O/U
  • Washington Capitals 33-32-17 O/U
  • Philadelphia Flyers 32-30-20 O/U
  • Anaheim Ducks 32-34-16 O/U
  • St. Louis Blues 32-30-10 O/U
  • Detroit Red Wings 31-36-15 O/U
  • Chicago Blackhawks 30-32-20 O/U
  • Minnesota Wild 29-34-19 O/U
  • Los Angeles Kings 28-32-22 O/U

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