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NHL-playoffs-betting-prediction-pick-Senators open as moneyline underdog vs Canadiens

Ottawa SenatorsMontreal Canadiens
May 2, 7:00 PM | Bell Centre

Ottawa Senators vs Montreal Canadiens Odds

25-17-6TEAM RECORD29-14-5

NHL playoff action resumes Thursday with a Canadian battle between Montreal and Ottawa at Bell Centre.

The Senators look to pull the upset here as the No. 7 seed against the second-seeded Canadiens. Ottawa was an early underdog in the +140 range, good value for some handicappers who saw the Habs end the season in a tailspin.

Supporters of the Senators have seen them go 25-17-6 so far this season, while the Canadiens are at 29-14-5. In totals betting, the Canadiens are 25-22-1, while the Senators are 11-30-7.

View Ottawa vs Montreal Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Bettors looking to side with the Canadiens in this one found them earlier as -163 favorites on the NHL money line at 5Dimes. Betting the over under instead? It was hovering near 5 at its open earlier today at BetOnline and may have moved.

Habs vs Senators Props: courtesy of Bovada

Series Price

Ottawa Senators (Series Price)                       +130

Montreal Canadiens (Series Price)      -150

 

Series Correct Score   

Ottawa Senators 4-0               16/1

Ottawa Senators 4-1               9/1      

Ottawa Senators 4-2               5/1      

Ottawa Senators 4-3               5/1      

Montreal Canadiens 4-0          17/2    

Montreal Canadiens 4-1          15/4

Montreal Canadiens 4-2          17/4

Montreal Canadiens 4-3          15/4

 

Total Games in the Series      

4          5/1

5          12/5

6          37/30

7          19/10  

 

Total Games in the Series      

Over    5½ (-190)

Under  5½ (+155)

 

Series Game Spread   

Ottawa Senators         +1½ (-160)                 

Montreal Canadiens    -1½ (+130)                 

 

Kyle Turris 1st Round Points

Over / Under 3

 

Sergei Gonchar 1st Round Points

Over / Under 3

 

Daniel Alfredsson 1st Round Points

Over / Under 3

 

Erik Karlsson 1st Round Points

Over / Under 4

 

Mika Zibanejad 1st Round Points

Over / Under 2.5

 

Max Pacioretty 1st Round Points

Over / Under 4.5

 

P.K. Subban 1st Round Points

Over / Under 4.5

 

Tomas Plekanec 1st Round Points

Over / Under 3.5

 

Andrei Markov 1st Round Points

Over / Under 3

 

Lars Eller 1st Round Points

Over / Under 3

 

Peter Budaj 1st Round Starts

Over .5            3/1

Under .5          1/5

Power Rankings:
The Canadiens - Senators odds would favor the Canadiens if the lines were set according to our power ranks. Montreal is rated No. 3 in the current Odds Shark poll, while Ottawa is at No. 11.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Montreal's No. 3-ranked offense (3.1 goals per game) against a Senators defense that ranks No. 2 at 2.2 goals per game allowed. The Canadiens powerplay has clicked at a 20.7% rate while the Senators have a 88% rate on the penalty kill.

Ottawa won its last outing, a 4-2 result against the Bruins on April 28. Bettors who backed the Senators at +168 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (6) sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

In their last action, Montreal was a 4-1 winner on the road against the Maple Leafs. Bettors on Montreal at +101 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (5) sent UNDER bettors home happy as well.

Ottawa Senators Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 2-8
Before playing Boston are 6-4
After playing Boston are 3-7
After a win are 6-4

Montreal Canadiens Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 6-4
Before playing Ottawa are 6-4
After playing Toronto are 5-5
After a win are 4-6

A few Senators at Canadiens trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Ottawa's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games on the road
Ottawa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Ottawa is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Montreal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Montreal's last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Montreal's last 9 games

Next up:
Ottawa at Montreal, Friday, May 3