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Senators' Goaltending Has Been Giving Them an Edge This Month

The Tampa Bay Lightning have basically mailed it in after trading Ben Bishop and they’ll play the team they got him from initially this evening as they prepare for life with Andrei Vasilevskiy as their No. 1 netminder. The Senators, their opponents tonight, opened as a pretty big underdog and if you’ve been following Ottawa this season, you’ll know that this line makes no sense.

SHARK BITES
  • The Lightning are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games as a moneyline favorite of -157 or less.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of the Sens’ last 9 games and in all of their last 5 road games.
  • The Senators have a 20-8 road puckline record this season.

With a 17-11-0 record on the road this season, Ottawa has been one of the most consistent teams away from home all year. It’s true that the Lightning are 6-2-2 against the Sens in their last 10 but most of those contests were won with the help of team captain Steven Stamkos. When these teams met in Tampa earlier this month, the Sens made a mockery of the Bolts, beating them 5-2 on their home ice.

I’m not saying that the Sens – with a few injuries of their own – are a lock as the underdog, but they are offering excellent value as they wrap up their four-game road trip. Mike Condon (.913 SV %) has proved his muster as a backup goalie and should be set to take the reins from Craig Anderson as Ottawa looks to improve to 7-4 straight up in the second half of their last 11 back-to-backs.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Sportsbooks such as Bovada had the Tampa Bay Lightning as -155 favorites earlier today. The over under opened at 5 at MyBookie for betting fans hoping to turn a profit on totals.

Odds Shark computer prediction formulas pick a 2.9-2.6 win for the Lightning on Monday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NHL matchups here.

Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 27-25-8 so far on the season. The Ottawa Senators, meanwhile, are 33-21-6. OVER/UNDER betting fans have seen Tampa Bay go 27-26-7 and the Senators go 23-35-2 on the totals. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Tampa Bay vs Ottawa injuries news.

According to new NHL Power Rankings here at Odds Shark, it's the No. 22-ranked Tampa Bay Lightning and the No. 15-rated Ottawa Senators in this matchup.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Tampa Bay's No. 17-ranked offense, averaging 2.77 goals per game, against a Senators defense that ranks No. 9 at 2.62 goals allowed. The Lightning power play is averaging 21.43% while the Senators defense kills off 84.04% of their penalties.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Last time out for Ottawa, they were a 2-1 winner as they battled the Panthers on the road. Moneyline bettors who got the Senators at +129 were rewarded, while the 3 combined goals moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

The Lightning were a 3-2 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Flames. That made winners of bettors who got Calgary at +129 on the moneyline, while the total score (5) was good news for OVER bettors.

Betting Trends
  • Ottawa is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Ottawa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Ottawa's last 9 games
  • Ottawa is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
  • Tampa Bay is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
  • Tampa Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
  • Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa

Next Betting Matchups

Ottawa home to Colorado, Thursday, March 2nd
Tampa Bay home to Carolina, Wednesday, March 1st

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