Stanley Cup Game 7 Odds Preview

When it comes to Game 7s in Stanley Cup Finals series, the home team has been a safe bet over the years.

So has betting under the total.

In 15 previous Game 7 Cup clinchers, the road team has won only three times (although it happened recently in 2009 when the Penguins won in Detroit). The fact Boston has lost five straight on the road and the Canucks have won six straight at home also factor into the -150 favorite status for Vancouver at shops like Bovada.

In those same 15 games, more than five goals were scored in only one game (way back in 1950 when Pete Babando scored in 2OT for the Red Wings).

Boston pushed the series to the brink with a 5-2 win as a -145 favorite at home in Game 6. The Bruins came out flying in the win and chased Roberto Luongo by scoring three goals in the first eight minutes of the first period.

Brad Marchand got the Bruins on the board, snapping one over Luongo's shoulder, and Milan Lucic and Andrew Ference followed with goals three minutes later to give Boston an early 3-0 lead.

Ever after Luongo was benched in favor of backup Cory Schneider Boston kept coming and set a final record with four goals in 4:14 after Michael Ryder made it 4-0. Tim Thomas stymied the Canucks the rest of the way, stopping 36 of 38 shots, and may have locked up the Conn Smythe Trophy in the process no matter if Boston wins or loses Game 7.

Thomas' performance and the media's inclination that he'll take home the MVP win or lose has caused most books including Bovada to pull their Conn Smythe Trophy futures. Bodog's Richard Gardner explains.

“Even though we would like to reopen the Odds to Win the Conn Smythe Trophy it is one of those situations where people who vote on it in the media have already hinted that Tim Thomas will win even if the Bruins lose and when situations like this occur it becomes very hard to monitor and would rather not risk it. It is sort of the same when we offer NFL or NBA draft odds and teams come out and say who they will take we have to shut down our lines.”

The only thing close to good news for Vancouver in the Game 6 loss was that Henrik Sedin finally registered his first point of the series. Sedin scored in the loss, snapping a five-game pointless drought. More bad news for Vancouver included an injury to Mason Raymond in the first period that kept him out the entire game and will also force him to miss Game 7.

Raymond suffered a fractured vertebrae which could sideline him into the start of next season.

Even after their Game 6 defeat and the loss of Raymond the Canucks are a -150 favorite for Game 7 at Bovada. The reason of course is because Vancouver is playing at home. The home team has won every game at home in the series and Vancouver has won six straight at home overall.

If you want to see what a difference home and away makes for Vancouver just look at Luongo's playoff numbers. At home during the postseason Luongo sports a solid 10-3 record with a 1.71 goals-against average and a .943 save percentage. On the road he's only 5-6 with a poor 3.76 GAA and an .878 save percentage.

Odds and Props for Game 7 from Bovada

NHL - STANLEY CUP FINAL ODDS - Game #7 - Puckline | Moneyline | Total
Boston Bruins +1(-240) +130 O 5
Vancouver Canucks -1(+200) -150 U 5

Team to score first in the game
Boston Bruins EVEN
Vancouver Canucks -130

Will the team that scores first win the game?
Yes -250
No +195

Will there be a goal in the first 10:00 of the Game?
Yes +105
No -135

First Period Line
Boston Bruins (-200)
Vancouver Canucks (+160)

First to 3 Goals
Boston Bruins +180
Vancouver Canucks EVEN
Neither +250

Boston Bruins Total Team Goals
Over Goals O 2 (EVEN)
Under Goals U 2 (-130)

Vancouver Canucks Total Team Goals
Over Goals O 2 (-130)
Under Goals U 2 (EVEN)

Will the game go to overtime?
Yes +250
No  -325

Margin Of Victory
Boston Bruins by 1 Goal 11/4
Boston Bruins by 2 Goals 15/2
Boston Bruins by 3 Goals 10/1
Boston Bruins by 4 Goals 35/1
Boston Bruins by 5 or more Goals 60/1
Vancouver Canucks by 1 Goal 9/4
Vancouver Canucks by 2 Goals 9/2
Vancouver Canucks by 3 Goals 11/2
Vancouver Canucks by 4 Goals 15/1
Vancouver Canucks by 5 or more Goals 20/1

First Goal Scorer
Daniel Sedin (VAN) 17/2
Alex Burrows (VAN) 10/1
Ryan Kesler (VAN) 10/1
David Krejci (BOS) 10/1
Henrik Sedin (VAN) 10/1
Brad Marchand (BOS) 12/1
Milan Lucic (BOS) 12/1
Patrice Bergeron (BOS) 12/1
Mark Recchi (BOS) 15/1
Mason Raymond (VAN) 15/1
Michael Ryder (BOS) 15/1
Jannick Hansen (VAN) 15/1
Christopher Higgins (VAN) 16/1
Zdeno Chara (BOS) 16/1
Christian Ehrhoff (VAN)18/1
Rich Peverley (BOS) 18/1
Chris Kelly (BOS) 20/1
Kevin Bieksa (VAN) 20/1
Alexander Edler (VAN)  22/1
Greg Campbell (BOS) 30/1
Sami Salo (VAN) 20/1
Any Other Player 7/1

Will David Krejci (BOS) Record a Point?
Yes -115
No -115

Will Milan Lucic (BOS) Record a Point?
Yes -110
No -120

Will Patrice Bergeron (BOS) Record a Point?
Yes +115
No -145

Will Zdeno Chara (BOS) Record a Point?
Yes +140
No -170

Will Mark Recchi (BOS) Record a Point?
Yes +135
No -165

Will Henrik Sedin (VAN) Record a Point?
Yes -150
No +120

Will Daniel Sedin (VAN) Record a Point?
Yes -150
No +120

Will Ryan Kesler (VAN) Record a Point?
Yes -130
No EVEN

Will Alex Burrows (VAN) Record a Point?
Yes EVEN
No -130

Will Alex Edler (VAN) Record a Point?
Yes +135
No -165

Total Saves - Tim Thomas (BOS)
Over/Under 32.5

Total Saves - Roberto Luongo (VAN)
Over/Under 30.5

Will Roberto Luongo get pulled and replaced by another goaltender at any point during the game (excluding injury)?
Yes 5/1

Who will record more penalty minutes in the game?
Boston Bruins -115
Vancouver Canucks -115

Who will win more faceoffs in the game?
Boston Bruins -115
Vancouver Canucks -115

If the Bruins win who will Zdeno Chara pass cup to first during their on ice celebration?
Tim Thomas 2/5
Mark Recchi 4/1
Patrice Bergeron 9/2
David Krejci 6/1
Milan Lucic 10/1
Brad Marchand 15/1
Tomas Kaberle 15/1
Claude Julien 20/1

If the Canucks win who will Henrik Sedin pass cup to first during their on ice celebration?
Daniel Sedin 1/2
Sami Salo 5/2
Roberto Luongo 11/2
Ryan Kesler 6/1
Manny Malhotra 12/1
Alex Burrows 15/1
Kevin Bieksa 18/1
Alain Vigneault 20/1

If Stephen Harper is at Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Finals will he wear a Canucks Jersey?
Yes 2/1

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