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The ACC Has Proved to be Hostile Ground for the Lightning

The Lightning and Maple Leafs will play the first of their five season matchups tonight as Tampa Bay comes into the Air Canada Centre having won four of its first five games. Toronto’s home ice, however, has been a hostile place for the Lightning the past few years and the young faces in Maple Leaf blue will be eager to stop their three-game skid.

SHARK BITES
  • The Lightning are 3-7 in their last 10 games on the road against the Maple Leafs.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Lightning's last 5 games as favorites against the Leafs.
  • Ben Bishop recorded a shutout in his last start against the Maple Leafs.

Tampa’s No. 1 goalie Ben Bishop has had significant issues keeping the puck out of the net this year but has been bailed out by his forwards who have been scoring just enough to win. Although he held the Leafs off the scoresheet the last time he played them, Bishop has actually struggled against the Leafs – illustrated by his career 6-5 record and .903 save percentage against them.

Auston Matthews and the young core of the Maple Leafs have really showed their age and lack of experience so far. They gave up a lead late in their shootout loss to the Blackhawks on Saturday night and have been able to win just once this season despite scoring an average of 3.6 goals per game.

Both of these teams have allowed their fair share of goals this year and have been scoring at good clips themselves – this game feels destined for an OVER.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

NHL Hockey odds makers at Bovada had the Toronto Maple Leafs as 118 moneyline underdogs in this betting matchup. Those over under betting saw the line open at 5.5 at BetOnline.

Odds Shark score prediction models pick a 2.9-2.7 result in favor of the Lightning today. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NHL matchups here.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

This season the Toronto Maple Leafs are 1-1-3 overall while the Tampa Bay Lightning are 4-1-0. As for the totals, Toronto is 3-2 on the OU, and Tampa Bay is 2-2-1. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Toronto vs Tampa Bay injuries news.

The NHL Power Rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Toronto Maple Leafs rated this week at No. 23 and the Tampa Bay Lightning sitting at No. 15.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Toronto's No. 4-ranked offense, averaging 3.6 goals per game, against a Lightning defense that ranks No. 13 at 2.8 goals allowed. The Maple Leafs power play is averaging 26.67% while the Lightning defense kills off 92.31% of their penalties.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last action, Tampa Bay was a 4-1 winner on the road against the Senators. Bettors on Tampa Bay at -113 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (5) sent UNDER bettors home happy as well.

Toronto lost its last outing, a 5-4 result against the Blackhawks on October 22. Bettors who backed the Blackhawks at -145 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (9) sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

Betting Trends
  • Tampa Bay is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games
  • Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
  • Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games
  • Toronto is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Tampa Bay at Montreal, Thursday, October 27th
Toronto home to Florida, Thursday, October 27th

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