Toronto lost yet another shootout last night, bringing the Maple Leafs’ record in the game-deciding skill competition to a dismal 1-8 in nine attempts. For those out there looking for analysis – that’s not very good. They’ll look to get over it and make a quick turnaround this evening when they take on the Anaheim Ducks looking to stop their four-game skid.
- The Maple Leafs are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games against the Ducks.
- The Ducks are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games after a loss.
- The total has gone UNDER in 9 of the Ducks' last 12 home games and in all of the Leafs' last 4 games.
During their losing streak, the Leafs have scored just six goals so they’ll be happy to see this West Coast swing come to an end. Toronto typically has a tough time scoring in California but if you look back to the Buds’ road matchup with the Ducks last year, you’ll see that they actually shut out the Quackers on their home ice, scoring four goals – three against John Gibson and one against the guy who came over in a trade later that summer.
This will be Frederik Andersen’s first return to the Honda Center since his departure from Anaheim but it’s a building he feels comfortable in as he posted a .931 save percentage in his 15 home starts last season. The Leafs, who are coming off the first half of a back-to-back, could rest the Dane in favor of Curtis McElhinney after he stopped 33 of 35 Kings’ shots last night but at the time of this writing, Freddy was first in the Leafs’ depth chart.
The Ducks have been a hard team to read, not posting a consecutive win or loss in their last eight games, but it’s clear they play better at home. They’re 19-7-3 at the Honda Center this season and they've also been keeping the puck out of the net on home ice with a 9-12-8 OVER/UNDER record at the Duck Pond this year.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
If you're backing the visiting Toronto Maple Leafs in this one, they Maple Leafs listed earlier today as underdogs of 125 at most sportsbooks, including Sportsbook. Those over/under total betting saw the number open in the area of 5, depending on the book.
Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 2.8-2.7 win for the Ducks. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NHL matchups here.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Anaheim Ducks Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
This season the Anaheim Ducks are 32-21-10 overall while the Toronto Maple Leafs are 28-21-14. As for the totals, Anaheim is 19-28-16 on the OU, and Toronto is 28-34-1. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Anaheim vs Toronto injuries news.
The NHL Power Rankings at Odds Shark show the No. 17-rated Toronto Maple Leafs taking on the No. 24-rated Anaheim Ducks in this contest.
Statistical Matchup
Offensively, the game matches up the Anaheim Ducks No. 21-ranked offense (2.57 goals per game) against a Toronto Maple Leafs defense that ranks No. 24 at 2.98 goals per game allowed. The Ducks Sportsbook has clicked at a 18.69% rate while the Maple Leafs have a 83.82% rate on the penalty kill.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
Toronto lost its last outing, a 3-2 result against the Kings on March 02. Bettors who backed the Kings at -151 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (5) sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.
In their last action, Anaheim was a 4-1 loser on the road against the Kings. Bettors on Los Angeles at -160 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (5) sent PUSH bettors home happy as well.
Next Betting Matchups
Toronto home to Detroit, Tuesday, March 7th
Anaheim home to Vancouver, Sunday, March 5th
