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Senators Go for Season Sweep of Leafs

Erik Karlsson Ottawa Senators NHL

While this season certainly hasn’t been a banner one for Canadian NHL teams, the Ottawa Senators could provide their fans a bit of a silver lining if they defeat the Toronto Maple Leafs at Canadian Tire Center Saturday evening.

Shark Bites
  • OVER is 4-0 in the previous four meetings between these two in Ottawa.
  • The home team is 5-2 SU in the previous seven meetings.
  • UNDER is 5-1 in Ottawa’s previous six games versus teams from the Atlantic Division.

At online shop Bovada, the Sens are -180 while the Maple Leafs are +150 in moneyline markets. As far as the total is concerned, OVER 5.5 goals is priced at -110 while UNDER 5.5 goals is -120.

The Sens can complete the season sweep of the hated Maple Leafs after winning the first three meetings this season. Ottawa has won 5-4, 6-1 and, most recently, 3-2 last Saturday night.

The Senators are tied with the Montreal Canadiens with 70 points on the season – the most of any of the Canadian franchises. Sadly, barring a miracle, none of them look like they are in line to make the postseason.

The Maple Leafs are in full tank mode and succeeding at it better than they have anything else in recent memory. The Buds head into Saturday’s meeting with an NHL-low 55 points and are on track to win the “Auston Matthews Sweepstakes”.

These two are no strangers to high-scoring games. Six of the previous eight meetings between the two have resulted in OVERS thanks to an average of 7.0 combined goals scored per game over that stretch.

These two struggling teams might not have much to play for Saturday night in the most recent edition of The Battle of Ontario, but a season sweep of their hated rivals would be a decent feather in the Senators’ otherwise humdrum cap.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

If you're going with the Ottawa Senators in this one, they were listed as moneyline favorites of -160 on most NHL hockey betting menus (such as Bovada) early today for Saturday's contest. The over-under total was at 5.5 earlier at Bet365.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 3-2.4 win for the Maple Leafs. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NHL matchups here.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Toronto Maple Leafs will try to spoil to the party on Saturday; they are 22-33-11 this season, while the Senators are 31-30-8. Toronto is 27-31-8 on the totals; Ottawa is 35-33-1. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Ottawa vs Toronto injuries news.

The Ottawa Senators sit at No. 25 in the current NHL power poll here at Odds Shark, while the Toronto Maple Leafs sit at a No. 28 on the same chart.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Ottawa Senators No. 6-ranked offense (2.87 goals per game) against a Toronto Maple Leafs defense that ranks No. 25 at 2.98 goals per game allowed. The Senators powerplay has clicked at a 17.65% rate while the Maple Leafs have a 80.18% rate on the penalty kill.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Last time out for Toronto, they were a 4-3 winner as they battled the Islanders at home. Moneyline bettors who got the Maple Leafs at +142 were rewarded, while the 7 combined goals moved the game OVER for totals bettors.

The Senators were a 6-2 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Panthers. That made winners of bettors who got Florida at -173 on the moneyline, while the total score (8) was good news for OVER bettors.

Betting Trends
  • Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games
  • Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games on the road
  • Ottawa is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games at home
  • Ottawa is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ottawa's last 8 games when playing Toronto

Next Betting Matchups

Toronto at Detroit, Sunday, March 13th
Ottawa home to Minnesota, Tuesday, March 15th

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